What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Having said that, from a first glance at Britvic (LON:BVIC) we aren't jumping out of our chairs at how returns are trending, but let's have a deeper look.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Britvic:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.14 = UK£161m ÷ (UK£1.7b - UK£565m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2021).
Thus, Britvic has an ROCE of 14%. By itself that's a normal return on capital and it's in line with the industry's average returns of 14%.
See our latest analysis for Britvic
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Britvic compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Britvic.
The Trend Of ROCE
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Britvic, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 14% from 21% five years ago. However it looks like Britvic might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
On a related note, Britvic has decreased its current liabilities to 32% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
In Conclusion...
To conclude, we've found that Britvic is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. Although the market must be expecting these trends to improve because the stock has gained 87% over the last five years. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.
On a final note, we've found 2 warning signs for Britvic that we think you should be aware of.
While Britvic isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About LSE:BVIC
Carlsberg Britvic
Britvic plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells soft drinks in the United Kingdom, the Republic of Ireland, France, Brazil, and internationally.
Moderate growth potential and slightly overvalued.
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