Stock Analysis

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Shell (LON:SHEL) Presents An Opportunity

LSE:SHEL
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It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story even if these companies are loss-making. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses. Loss making companies can act like a sponge for capital - so investors should be cautious that they're not throwing good money after bad.

So if this idea of high risk and high reward doesn't suit, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like Shell (LON:SHEL). While this doesn't necessarily speak to whether it's undervalued, the profitability of the business is enough to warrant some appreciation - especially if its growing.

View our latest analysis for Shell

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How Fast Is Shell Growing?

The market is a voting machine in the short term, but a weighing machine in the long term, so you'd expect share price to follow earnings per share (EPS) outcomes eventually. So it makes sense that experienced investors pay close attention to company EPS when undertaking investment research. To the delight of shareholders, Shell has achieved impressive annual EPS growth of 46%, compound, over the last three years. While that sort of growth rate isn't sustainable for long, it certainly catches the eye of prospective investors.

Top-line growth is a great indicator that growth is sustainable, and combined with a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin, it's a great way for a company to maintain a competitive advantage in the market. Shell shareholders can take confidence from the fact that EBIT margins are up from 9.5% to 17%, and revenue is growing. That's great to see, on both counts.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
LSE:SHEL Earnings and Revenue History March 20th 2023

You don't drive with your eyes on the rear-view mirror, so you might be more interested in this free report showing analyst forecasts for Shell's future profits.

Are Shell Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Investors are always searching for a vote of confidence in the companies they hold and insider buying is one of the key indicators for optimism on the market. This view is based on the possibility that stock purchases signal bullishness on behalf of the buyer. However, insiders are sometimes wrong, and we don't know the exact thinking behind their acquisitions.

First things first, there weren't any reports of insiders selling shares in Shell in the last 12 months. But the really good news is that Independent Chairman of the Board Andrew Mackenzie spent US$199k buying stock, at an average price of around US$24.18. Purchases like this can offer an insight into the faith of the company's management - and it seems to be all positive.

Along with the insider buying, another encouraging sign for Shell is that insiders, as a group, have a considerable shareholding. As a matter of fact, their holding is valued at US$36m. That shows significant buy-in, and may indicate conviction in the business strategy. While their ownership only accounts for 0.02%, this is still a considerable amount at stake to encourage the business to maintain a strategy that will deliver value to shareholders.

Does Shell Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

Shell's earnings per share have been soaring, with growth rates sky high. The icing on the cake is that insiders own a large chunk of the company and one has even been buying more shares. These factors seem to indicate the company's potential and that it has reached an inflection point. We'd suggest Shell belongs near the top of your watchlist. You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shell you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

The good news is that Shell is not the only growth stock with insider buying. Here's a list of them... with insider buying in the last three months!

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.