Stock Analysis

3 UK Stocks Estimated To Be Undervalued By Up To 48%

LSE:SRAD
Source: Shutterstock

The United Kingdom's stock market has recently faced challenges, with the FTSE 100 closing lower due to weak trade data from China, highlighting concerns over global economic recovery. In this environment of uncertainty and fluctuating indices, identifying undervalued stocks can offer potential opportunities for investors seeking value in a market impacted by external economic pressures.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In The United Kingdom

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
GlobalData (AIM:DATA)£1.89£3.7349.3%
AstraZeneca (LSE:AZN)£116.96£220.5247%
Watches of Switzerland Group (LSE:WOSG)£4.358£8.4848.6%
S&U (LSE:SUS)£19.15£36.5547.6%
Informa (LSE:INF)£8.206£15.4246.8%
Gulf Keystone Petroleum (LSE:GKP)£1.283£2.4748%
St. James's Place (LSE:STJ)£8.61£16.6948.4%
Foxtons Group (LSE:FOXT)£0.616£1.1948.2%
Auction Technology Group (LSE:ATG)£4.465£8.4046.9%
Genel Energy (LSE:GENL)£0.765£1.5149.4%

Click here to see the full list of 61 stocks from our Undervalued UK Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's dive into some prime choices out of the screener.

Gulf Keystone Petroleum (LSE:GKP)

Overview: Gulf Keystone Petroleum Limited is involved in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq, with a market cap of £279.46 million.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily derived from its exploration and production activities in the oil and gas sector, amounting to $115.15 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 48%

Gulf Keystone Petroleum appears undervalued based on cash flows, trading at £1.28, significantly below its estimated fair value of £2.47. The company is expected to see revenue growth of 39.8% per year, outpacing the UK market's 3.6%. However, its dividend yield of 11.07% is not well covered by earnings or free cash flows, raising sustainability concerns despite recent dividend declarations totaling $20 million for interim payments in October 2024.

LSE:GKP Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024
LSE:GKP Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Stelrad Group (LSE:SRAD)

Overview: Stelrad Group PLC manufactures and distributes radiators across the United Kingdom, Ireland, Europe, Turkey, and internationally with a market cap of £196.12 million.

Operations: The company's revenue from the manufacture and distribution of radiators is £294.27 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 41.8%

Stelrad Group is trading at £1.53, significantly below its estimated fair value of £2.63, indicating it may be undervalued based on cash flows. Despite a high debt level, earnings are expected to grow 14.52% annually, surpassing the UK market's growth rate of 13.9%. Recent executive changes include Leigh Wilcox as CFO and board member, enhancing financial leadership stability amid a modest dividend increase to 2.98 pence per share.

LSE:SRAD Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024
LSE:SRAD Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Trainline (LSE:TRN)

Overview: Trainline Plc operates an independent rail and coach travel platform that sells tickets in the United Kingdom and internationally, with a market cap of £1.49 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue segments consist of £134.76 million from Trainline Solutions, £53.16 million from International Consumer, and £208.80 million from United Kingdom Consumer.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 35.9%

Trainline is trading at £3.39, significantly below its estimated fair value of £5.29, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Earnings are forecast to grow significantly at 22.51% annually, outpacing the UK market's 13.9% growth rate, while revenue is expected to increase by 5.8% per year, faster than the market average of 3.6%. A sales/trading statement for the first half of 2025 will be released on September 12, 2024.

LSE:TRN Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024
LSE:TRN Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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