Trainline Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Trainline is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 0.5% and 2.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 7.2% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 38.4% in 3 years.
Key information
0.5%
Earnings growth rate
7.19%
EPS growth rate
| Hospitality earnings growth | 19.2% |
| Revenue growth rate | 2.4% |
| Future return on equity | 38.37% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 08 May 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Analysis Article • 15h
Trainline plc (LON:TRN) Full-Year Results Just Came Out: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For This Year
Trainline plc ( LON:TRN ) shareholders are probably feeling a little disappointed, since its shares fell 7.5% to...
Narrative Update • May 02
TRN: Leadership Change And Steady Cash Flow Assumptions May Support Further Upside
Analysts have trimmed Trainline's overall price target slightly to £3.50, reflecting mixed recent target moves across the Street, where some firms raised targets modestly while others cut by up to £1.50 as they reassessed assumptions around returns and discount rates. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Trainline reflects a mix of optimism on execution and caution around valuation assumptions, with price targets clustering in the £2.35 to £3.50 range and one outlier reset from £5.00 to £3.50.Narrative Update • Apr 18
TRN: Leadership Transition And Higher Future P E Multiple May Support Upside
Trainline's updated fair value estimate has edged to £3.55 per share, with analysts pointing to recent price target revisions across the Street, including cuts to £3.50 and £2.90, alongside a raise to £2.35, as they reassess discount rates, long term growth and future P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Trainline shows a mix of optimism on execution and caution around valuation, reflected in a range of price targets from £2.35 to £3.50 per share and varied rating stances.Narrative Update • Apr 03
TRN: Leadership Transition And Buybacks Will Support Higher P E Multiple
Analysts have adjusted Trainline's blended price target, with changes ranging from a cut from £5.00 to £3.50 to a lift from £2.15 to £2.35. These revisions reflect differing views on growth, profitability and the appropriate P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Mar 19
TRN: Leadership Transition And Buybacks Will Support Future Re Rating
Trainline's updated analyst price target has moved lower to reflect a revised fair value estimate, a tighter discount rate, and adjusted assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E. This is in line with recent Street research, where targets shifted between £2.15 and £3.50 as analysts reassessed the balance between growth expectations and profitability.Narrative Update • Mar 04
TRN: Leadership Transition And Share Buyback Plans Will Support Future Re Rating
Analysts have modestly reduced their price targets on Trainline, with recent Street research updates moving targets to £2.15 and £3.10. These changes reflect adjustments to assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E expectations.Narrative Update • Feb 18
TRN: Share Buyback Approval And Mixed Ratings Will Support Future Re Rating
Our updated fair value for Trainline nudges up to reflect slightly higher revenue growth and P/E assumptions, even as the average analyst price target has come down. Recent cuts to £2.15 and £3.10 help to frame a more cautious stance on near term upside.Analysis Article • Feb 14
These 4 Measures Indicate That Trainline (LON:TRN) Is Using Debt Safely
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Narrative Update • Feb 04
TRN: Share Buyback Flexibility And Mixed Ratings Will Support Future Re Rating
Narrative Update on Trainline Analysts have trimmed their price targets for Trainline, with recent moves ranging from a cut to £2.15 to a lower £3.10. These changes reflect updated views on discount rates, growth expectations and margins in their models.Narrative Update • Jan 21
TRN: Share Buybacks And Mixed Ratings Will Underpin Future Re Rating
Analysts have trimmed their price targets on Trainline, with the blended fair value easing from £3.88 to £3.82 as modestly lower future P/E assumptions filter through recent target cuts ranging from £2.15 to £5.00 per share. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows both bullish and bearish adjustments to Trainline's valuation, with price targets now spread between £2.15 and £5.00 per share.Narrative Update • Jan 07
TRN: Share Buybacks And Execution Upside Will Drive Future Re Rating
Analysts have trimmed their average price target for Trainline to £3.00, reflecting mixed recent revisions across the Street and slightly adjusted modeling assumptions around discount rates and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Trainline shows a mix of optimism and caution, with price targets clustered between £3.00 and £5.00 and ratings ranging from Neutral to Buy.Narrative Update • Dec 24
TRN: Share Buybacks Will Support Future Upside Despite Mixed Broker Revisions
Narrative Update on Trainline Analysts have modestly adjusted their price targets for Trainline, reflecting a mixed recalibration in sector expectations, with a recent trimming of Neutral valuations offset by a higher Buy-rated target to 500 GBp, as they factor in slightly higher discount rates and sustained revenue growth and margin assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Trainline point to a nuanced outlook, with valuation targets being actively recalibrated as analysts weigh strong execution against macro and regulatory uncertainties.Narrative Update • Dec 09
TRN: Buybacks And Digital Ticketing Shift Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their blended price target for Trainline to around £3.00 per share from roughly £3.30, reflecting slightly lower fair value and profit margin assumptions that offset modestly stronger expected revenue growth. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates highlight a mixed but generally constructive stance on Trainline, with valuation expectations converging around a moderate premium to current trading levels and a clear divide between growth oriented and more cautious views.Analysis Article • Nov 19
There Is A Reason Trainline plc's (LON:TRN) Price Is Undemanding
Trainline plc's ( LON:TRN ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.7x might make it look like a buy right now...Analysis Article • Oct 30
Investors Shouldn't Overlook Trainline's (LON:TRN) Impressive Returns On Capital
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Analysis Article • Oct 11
Trainline plc's (LON:TRN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 85% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Trainline fair value estimate is UK£4.84 Current share price...Analysis Article • Jul 23
Trainline plc's (LON:TRN) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon
Trainline plc's ( LON:TRN ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19.1x might make it look like a sell right now...Analysis Article • Jun 30
We Think Trainline (LON:TRN) Might Have The DNA Of A Multi-Bagger
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Ideally, a business will...Analysis Article • Jun 16
Why Trainline plc (LON:TRN) Could Be Worth Watching
While Trainline plc ( LON:TRN ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a decent share price growth of...Analysis Article • May 21
Trainline plc (LON:TRN) Shares Could Be 42% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Trainline fair value estimate is UK£4.74 Current share price...
New Narrative • Mar 15
EU Expansion And Ancillary Services Will Drive Passenger Volumes And Diversify Income
EU market expansion and competition boost passenger volume, increasing net ticket sales and revenue growth, especially in Spain and Italy.Analysis Article • Mar 14
Trainline Plc's (LON:TRN) Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors
Trainline Plc's ( LON:TRN ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.6x might make it look like a sell right now...Analysis Article • Feb 09
Is It Time To Consider Buying Trainline Plc (LON:TRN)?
Trainline Plc ( LON:TRN ), might not be a large cap stock, but it received a lot of attention from a substantial price...Analysis Article • Dec 16
The Trend Of High Returns At Trainline (LON:TRN) Has Us Very Interested
What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Amongst...Analysis Article • Nov 15
We Think Trainline's (LON:TRN) Robust Earnings Are Conservative
Even though Trainline Plc's ( LON:TRN ) recent earnings release was robust, the market didn't seem to notice. Investors...Analysis Article • Nov 08
Trainline Plc (LON:TRN) Looks Just Right With A 28% Price Jump
The Trainline Plc ( LON:TRN ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. The...Analysis Article • Oct 06
Is There An Opportunity With Trainline Plc's (LON:TRN) 39% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Trainline's estimated fair value is UK£5.36 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Trainline's UK£3.25...Analysis Article • Jun 06
Is There Now An Opportunity In Trainline Plc (LON:TRN)?
Trainline Plc ( LON:TRN ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth of 11% on the LSE...Analysis Article • May 14
Earnings Tell The Story For Trainline Plc (LON:TRN)
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 44.9x Trainline Plc ( LON:TRN ) may be sending very bearish signals at the...Analysis Article • Apr 26
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Trainline Plc (LON:TRN)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Trainline is UK£3.50 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Trainline's...Analysis Article • Apr 03
The Return Trends At Trainline (LON:TRN) Look Promising
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. In a perfect...Analysis Article • Feb 17
Is Trainline (LON:TRN) A Risky Investment?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analysis Article • Jan 30
At UK£3.27, Is It Time To Put Trainline Plc (LON:TRN) On Your Watch List?
Trainline Plc ( LON:TRN ), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise of 41% in...Analysis Article • Jan 06
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Trainline Plc's (LON:TRN) P/E
Trainline Plc's ( LON:TRN ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 63.4x might make it look like a strong sell right now...Analysis Article • Dec 19
A Look At The Fair Value Of Trainline Plc (LON:TRN)
Key Insights Trainline's estimated fair value is UK£2.67 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With UK£3.14 share...Analysis Article • Oct 29
Trainline (LON:TRN) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price
What are the early trends we should look for to identify a stock that could multiply in value over the long term...Analysis Article • Oct 07
The Price Is Right For Trainline Plc (LON:TRN)
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Hospitality industry in the United Kingdom have price-to-sales...Analysis Article • Sep 15
Are Investors Undervaluing Trainline Plc (LON:TRN) By 42%?
Key Insights Trainline's estimated fair value is UK£4.78 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Trainline is...Analysis Article • Aug 21
Trainline (LON:TRN) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Analysis Article • Aug 06
When Should You Buy Trainline Plc (LON:TRN)?
While Trainline Plc ( LON:TRN ) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention...Analysis Article • May 26
Is Trainline Plc (LON:TRN) Worth UK£2.7 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?
Key Insights Trainline's estimated fair value is UK£2.23 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Trainline's UK£2.71...Analysis Article • May 05
Is It Time To Consider Buying Trainline Plc (LON:TRN)?
Trainline Plc ( LON:TRN ), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on...Analysis Article • Apr 02
Investors Will Want Trainline's (LON:TRN) Growth In ROCE To Persist
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Typically, we'll...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/28/2029 | 485 | 82 | N/A | N/A | 4 |
| 2/29/2028 | 473 | 79 | 116 | 166 | 12 |
| 2/28/2027 | 447 | 77 | 107 | 156 | 8 |
| 2/28/2026 | 453 | 80 | 80 | 133 | N/A |
| 11/30/2025 | 450 | 76 | 87 | 134 | N/A |
| 8/31/2025 | 448 | 73 | 95 | 136 | N/A |
| 5/31/2025 | 445 | 66 | 96 | 137 | N/A |
| 2/28/2025 | 442 | 58 | 96 | 138 | N/A |
| 11/30/2024 | 435 | 56 | 102 | 144 | N/A |
| 8/31/2024 | 429 | 54 | 108 | 150 | N/A |
| 5/31/2024 | 413 | 44 | 95 | 136 | N/A |
| 2/29/2024 | 397 | 34 | 82 | 122 | N/A |
| 11/30/2023 | 378 | 28 | 62 | 101 | N/A |
| 8/31/2023 | 359 | 23 | 41 | 81 | N/A |
| 5/31/2023 | 343 | 22 | 23 | 60 | N/A |
| 2/28/2023 | 327 | 21 | 4 | 40 | N/A |
| 11/30/2022 | 301 | 15 | 64 | 97 | N/A |
| 8/31/2022 | 276 | 9 | 125 | 155 | N/A |
| 5/31/2022 | 232 | -2 | 147 | 177 | N/A |
| 2/28/2022 | 189 | -12 | 170 | 200 | N/A |
| 11/30/2021 | 151 | -36 | 90 | 118 | N/A |
| 8/31/2021 | 114 | -61 | 10 | 37 | N/A |
| 5/31/2021 | 90 | -76 | -69 | -42 | N/A |
| 2/28/2021 | 67 | -91 | -147 | -121 | N/A |
| 11/30/2020 | 115 | -61 | -119 | -92 | N/A |
| 8/31/2020 | 163 | -30 | -91 | -62 | N/A |
| 5/31/2020 | 212 | -56 | -29 | -1 | N/A |
| 2/29/2020 | 261 | -81 | 32 | 60 | N/A |
| 11/30/2019 | 250 | -87 | N/A | 86 | N/A |
| 8/31/2019 | 239 | -92 | N/A | 112 | N/A |
| 5/31/2019 | 224 | -53 | N/A | 92 | N/A |
| 2/28/2019 | 210 | -14 | N/A | 72 | N/A |
| 2/28/2018 | 178 | -52 | N/A | 37 | N/A |
| 2/28/2017 | 153 | -56 | N/A | 39 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: TRN's forecast earnings growth (0.5% per year) is below the savings rate (3.4%).
Earnings vs Market: TRN's earnings (0.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the UK market (12.1% per year).
High Growth Earnings: TRN's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: TRN's revenue (2.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the UK market (4.5% per year).
High Growth Revenue: TRN's revenue (2.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: TRN's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (38.4%)
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/08 17:28 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/02/28 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/02/28 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Trainline plc is covered by 19 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Andrew Ross | Barclays |
| Owen Shirley | Berenberg |
| Alexander James Short | Berenberg |