Stock Analysis

What Is Great Eastern Energy Corporation Limited's (LON:GEEC) Share Price Doing?

LSE:GEEC
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Great Eastern Energy Corporation Limited (LSE:GEEC), an energy company based in India, saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the LSE. Less-covered, small caps tend to present more of an opportunity for mispricing due to the lack of information available to the public, which can be a good thing. So, could the stock still be trading at a low price relative to its actual value? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Great Eastern Energy’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists. See our latest analysis for Great Eastern Energy

What's the opportunity in Great Eastern Energy?

According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 45%, trading at UK£0.80 compared to my intrinsic value of £0.55. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. Another thing to keep in mind is that Great Eastern Energy’s share price is quite stable relative to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards its intrinsic value over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.

What kind of growth will Great Eastern Energy generate?

LSE:GEEC Future Profit Mar 16th 18
LSE:GEEC Future Profit Mar 16th 18
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. In Great Eastern Energy’s case, its revenues over the next couple of years are expected to double, indicating an incredibly optimistic future ahead. If expense does not increase by the same rate, or higher, this top line growth should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? GEEC’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe GEEC should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on GEEC for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for GEEC, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Great Eastern Energy. You can find everything you need to know about Great Eastern Energy in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Great Eastern Energy, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com

Simply Wall St analyst Simply Wall St and Simply Wall St have no position in any of the companies mentioned. This article is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

About LSE:GEEC

Great Eastern Energy

Great Eastern Energy Corporation Limited engages in exploring, developing, extracting, distributing, and marketing coal bed methane gas and compressed natural gas in India.

Fair value with questionable track record.

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