BP Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

BP's revenue is forecast to decline at 0.9% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 26.2% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 27.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 17.1% in 3 years.

Key information

26.2%

Earnings growth rate

27.4%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth12.8%
Revenue growth rate-0.9%
Future return on equity17.1%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated11 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Earnings Miss: BP p.l.c. Missed EPS By 90% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Feb 13
Earnings Miss: BP p.l.c. Missed EPS By 90% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

BP p.l.c. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

May 09
BP p.l.c. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Recent updates

Investors Don't See Light At End Of BP p.l.c.'s (LON:BP.) Tunnel

Mar 26
Investors Don't See Light At End Of BP p.l.c.'s (LON:BP.) Tunnel

We Think BP (LON:BP.) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Mar 08
We Think BP (LON:BP.) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

BP's (LON:BP.) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings

Feb 18
BP's (LON:BP.) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings

Earnings Miss: BP p.l.c. Missed EPS By 90% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

Feb 13
Earnings Miss: BP p.l.c. Missed EPS By 90% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
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Completion Of Eight Biogas Plants And New Assets In Iraq Will Strengthen Future Prospects

Feb 09 BP's strategic optimization and divestment of non-competitive assets aim to enhance capital allocation, improving net margins and long-term earnings.

Here's What To Make Of BP's (LON:BP.) Decelerating Rates Of Return

Dec 19
Here's What To Make Of BP's (LON:BP.) Decelerating Rates Of Return

It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With BP p.l.c. (LON:BP.)

Dec 04
It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With BP p.l.c. (LON:BP.)

Is There An Opportunity With BP p.l.c.'s (LON:BP.) 49% Undervaluation?

Nov 19
Is There An Opportunity With BP p.l.c.'s (LON:BP.) 49% Undervaluation?

BP (LON:BP.) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

Aug 21
BP (LON:BP.) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital

It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With BP p.l.c. (LON:BP.)

Jul 01
It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward With BP p.l.c. (LON:BP.)

We Think BP (LON:BP.) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

May 29
We Think BP (LON:BP.) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past BP's (LON:BP.) Soft Earnings

May 14
Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past BP's (LON:BP.) Soft Earnings

BP p.l.c. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

May 09
BP p.l.c. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:BP. - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027183,7279,15413,20626,3719
12/31/2026174,9169,13112,60925,47811
12/31/2025177,6008,23211,58325,30411
12/31/2024187,38639012,00027,297N/A
9/30/2024193,9292,72013,59629,247N/A
6/30/2024199,9297,37216,34931,233N/A
3/31/2024201,0799,29314,55229,426N/A
12/31/2023208,35115,23817,75432,039N/A
9/30/2023226,39125,67022,49936,233N/A
6/30/2023227,54018,64922,39135,774N/A
3/31/2023246,02226,11427,74840,344N/A
12/31/2022239,067-2,48828,86340,932N/A
9/30/2022220,870-10,96522,33233,477N/A
6/30/2022202,318-11,34720,47831,165N/A
3/31/2022171,248-17,48715,25725,713N/A
12/31/2021156,4317,56312,72523,612N/A
9/30/2021133,8756,5958,72819,765N/A
6/30/2021124,2278,6908,02618,993N/A
3/31/2021109,193-11,2755,76917,319N/A
12/31/2020105,672-20,306-14412,162N/A
9/30/2020149,126-21,6454,17617,496N/A
6/30/2020190,905-21,9443,65118,348N/A
3/31/2020242,072-3,2745,91421,426N/A
12/31/2019158,1094,02510,35225,770N/A
9/30/2019281,6444,7727,55224,996N/A
6/30/2019292,7108,8707,86725,032N/A
3/31/2019295,3139,8477,70724,523N/A
12/31/2018297,5339,3826,16622,873N/A
9/30/2018289,0348,643N/A21,947N/A
6/30/2018269,5867,063N/A21,879N/A
3/31/2018250,8424,408N/A20,463N/A
12/31/2017238,4333,388N/A18,931N/A
9/30/2017222,2593,858N/A15,456N/A
6/30/2017209,5253,709N/A11,940N/A
3/31/2017199,5452,146N/A10,933N/A
12/31/2016182,325114N/A10,691N/A
9/30/2016180,811-3,691N/A14,069N/A
6/30/2016189,890-5,265N/A16,744N/A
3/31/2016205,584-9,669N/A19,147N/A
12/31/2015222,243-6,484N/A19,133N/A
9/30/2015247,531-7,584N/A20,574N/A
6/30/2015285,521-6,340N/A24,790N/A
3/31/2015317,6002,852N/A26,381N/A
12/31/2014351,1953,778N/A32,754N/A
9/30/2014373,2889,227N/A30,921N/A
6/30/2014375,98511,441N/A27,854N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: BP.'s forecast earnings growth (26.2% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: BP.'s earnings (26.2% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the UK market (13.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: BP.'s earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: BP.'s revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: BP.'s revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.9% per year).


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: BP.'s Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (17.1%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/14 04:29
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/11 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

BP p.l.c. is covered by 82 analysts. 20 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alexandre AndlauerAlphaValue
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
John EadeArgus Research Company