Exxon Mobil Corporation

LSE:0R1M Stock Report

Market Cap: US$554.6b

Exxon Mobil Valuation

Is 0R1M undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0R1M when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0R1M ($125.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($209.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0R1M is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0R1M?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0R1M key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.2x
PEG Ratio3.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0R1M's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0R1M vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.3x
SHEL Shell
11.7x5.4%UK£165.0b
11.9x10.6%UK£67.0b
CVX Chevron
14.8x5.4%US$275.7b
857 PetroChina
6.9x-4.3%HK$1.7t
0R1M Exxon Mobil
16.3x5.1%US$554.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0R1M is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the peer average (11.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0R1M's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0R1M is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (10.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0R1M's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0R1M PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.3x
Fair PE Ratio18.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0R1M is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0R1M forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$125.70
US$130.66
+3.9%
7.7%US$149.00US$110.00n/a25
Oct ’25US$119.70
US$130.70
+9.2%
7.8%US$149.00US$110.00n/a25
Sep ’25US$117.10
US$132.64
+13.3%
8.5%US$157.00US$110.00n/a25
Aug ’25US$117.20
US$132.63
+13.2%
8.7%US$153.00US$110.00n/a25
Jul ’25US$115.30
US$132.57
+15.0%
8.4%US$154.00US$114.00n/a23
Jun ’25US$114.50
US$133.26
+16.4%
8.6%US$152.00US$110.00n/a23
May ’25US$116.50
US$130.64
+12.1%
9.1%US$150.00US$110.00n/a24
Apr ’25US$115.50
US$124.67
+7.9%
8.2%US$149.00US$105.00n/a23
Mar ’25US$106.00
US$124.18
+17.2%
9.2%US$149.00US$105.00n/a24
Feb ’25US$103.00
US$124.19
+20.6%
9.1%US$149.00US$105.00n/a24
Jan ’25US$100.50
US$126.10
+25.5%
9.7%US$150.00US$105.00n/a24
Dec ’24US$103.50
US$127.08
+22.8%
9.0%US$150.00US$110.00n/a24
Nov ’24US$106.50
US$127.00
+19.2%
9.9%US$150.00US$110.00n/a24
Oct ’24US$117.50
US$123.57
+5.2%
9.8%US$150.00US$105.00US$119.7023
Sep ’24US$112.50
US$122.22
+8.6%
9.2%US$146.00US$105.00US$117.1023
Aug ’24US$106.00
US$121.26
+14.4%
9.7%US$146.00US$100.00US$117.2023
Jul ’24US$108.00
US$124.35
+15.1%
9.2%US$146.00US$98.00US$115.3024
Jun ’24US$103.50
US$125.60
+21.4%
9.8%US$146.00US$98.00US$114.5024
May ’24US$119.50
US$125.94
+5.4%
10.6%US$148.00US$98.00US$116.5026
Apr ’24US$109.72
US$124.27
+13.3%
10.2%US$148.00US$98.00US$115.5027
Mar ’24US$111.23
US$122.81
+10.4%
10.5%US$148.00US$98.00US$106.0027
Feb ’24US$115.39
US$122.25
+5.9%
10.2%US$142.00US$98.00US$103.0027
Jan ’24US$108.82
US$115.25
+5.9%
13.8%US$138.00US$77.00US$100.5027
Dec ’23US$111.07
US$114.33
+2.9%
13.7%US$138.00US$77.00US$103.5027
Nov ’23US$111.66
US$111.50
-0.1%
13.4%US$136.00US$77.00US$106.5027
Oct ’23US$88.80
US$104.77
+18.0%
13.4%US$134.00US$77.00US$117.5027

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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