Exxon Mobil Corporation

LSE:0R1M Stock Report

Market Cap: US$474.7b

Exxon Mobil Valuation

Is 0R1M undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0R1M when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0R1M ($108.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($181.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0R1M is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0R1M?

Key metric: As 0R1M is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0R1M. This is calculated by dividing 0R1M's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0R1M's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.1x
EarningsUS$33.70b
Market CapUS$474.71b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0R1M's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0R1M vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.5x
SHEL Shell
12.2x4.9%UK£150.3b
28x29.4%UK£60.0b
CVX Chevron
15.5x7.0%US$266.2b
857 PetroChina
6.2x-3.9%HK$1.6t
0R1M Exxon Mobil
14.1x4.9%US$474.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0R1M is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the peer average (15.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0R1M's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ROSN Rosneft Oil
1.5xn/aUS$21.03b
INDI Indus Gas
1xn/aUS$19.97m
No more companies available in this PE range
0R1M 14.1xIndustry Avg. 9.3xNo. of Companies4PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0R1M is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (9.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0R1M's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0R1M PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.1x
Fair PE Ratio22.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0R1M is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0R1M forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$108.70
US$130.58
+20.1%
7.9%US$147.00US$105.00n/a25
Dec ’25US$118.20
US$131.71
+11.4%
8.1%US$149.00US$105.00n/a26
Nov ’25US$116.70
US$130.90
+12.2%
8.1%US$149.00US$105.00n/a26
Oct ’25US$119.70
US$130.70
+9.2%
7.8%US$149.00US$110.00n/a25
Sep ’25US$117.10
US$132.64
+13.3%
8.5%US$157.00US$110.00n/a25
Aug ’25US$117.20
US$132.63
+13.2%
8.7%US$153.00US$110.00n/a25
Jul ’25US$115.30
US$132.24
+14.7%
8.4%US$154.00US$114.00n/a24
Jun ’25US$114.50
US$132.90
+16.1%
8.6%US$152.00US$110.00n/a24
May ’25US$116.50
US$130.64
+12.1%
9.1%US$150.00US$110.00n/a24
Apr ’25US$115.50
US$124.67
+7.9%
8.2%US$149.00US$105.00n/a23
Mar ’25US$106.00
US$124.18
+17.2%
9.2%US$149.00US$105.00n/a24
Feb ’25US$103.00
US$124.19
+20.6%
9.1%US$149.00US$105.00n/a24
Jan ’25US$100.50
US$126.10
+25.5%
9.7%US$150.00US$105.00n/a24
Dec ’24US$103.50
US$127.08
+22.8%
9.0%US$150.00US$110.00US$118.2024
Nov ’24US$106.50
US$127.00
+19.2%
9.9%US$150.00US$110.00US$116.7024
Oct ’24US$117.50
US$123.57
+5.2%
9.8%US$150.00US$105.00US$119.7023
Sep ’24US$112.50
US$122.22
+8.6%
9.2%US$146.00US$105.00US$117.1023
Aug ’24US$106.00
US$121.26
+14.4%
9.7%US$146.00US$100.00US$117.2023
Jul ’24US$108.00
US$124.35
+15.1%
9.2%US$146.00US$98.00US$115.3024
Jun ’24US$103.50
US$125.60
+21.4%
9.8%US$146.00US$98.00US$114.5024
May ’24US$119.50
US$125.94
+5.4%
10.6%US$148.00US$98.00US$116.5026
Apr ’24US$109.72
US$124.27
+13.3%
10.2%US$148.00US$98.00US$115.5027
Mar ’24US$111.23
US$122.81
+10.4%
10.5%US$148.00US$98.00US$106.0027
Feb ’24US$115.39
US$122.25
+5.9%
10.2%US$142.00US$98.00US$103.0027
Jan ’24US$108.82
US$115.25
+5.9%
13.8%US$138.00US$77.00US$100.5027
Dec ’23US$111.07
US$114.33
+2.9%
13.7%US$138.00US$77.00US$103.5027

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 13:54
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Exxon Mobil Corporation is covered by 63 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Fabrizio SpagnaAxia Financial Research
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research