Africa Oil Corp.

LSE:0QVL Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 6.5b

Africa Oil Valuation

Is 0QVL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0QVL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0QVL (SEK14.66) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK28.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0QVL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0QVL?

Key metric: As 0QVL is unprofitable and pre-revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for 0QVL. This is calculated by dividing 0QVL's market cap by their current book value.
What is 0QVL's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio1.1x
BookUS$548.70m
Market CapUS$594.28m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does 0QVL's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for 0QVL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
GKP Gulf Keystone Petroleum
0.7x80.4%UK£311.8m
GENL Genel Energy
0.7x56.5%UK£232.8m
RKH Rockhopper Exploration
0.5x-81.6%UK£84.1m
DEC Diversified Energy
1.4x0.3%UK£579.1m
0QVL Africa Oil
1.1x66.9%SEK 837.3m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: 0QVL is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does 0QVL's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

12 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
INDI Indus Gas
0.05xn/aUS$19.95m
BOR Borders & Southern Petroleum
0.05xn/aUS$15.57m
RBD Reabold Resources
0.1xn/aUS$7.33m
GCM GCM Resources
0.1xn/aUS$6.62m
0QVL 1.1xIndustry Avg. 0.9xNo. of Companies12PB00.61.21.82.43+
12 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: 0QVL is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.1x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (0.9x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0QVL's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0QVL PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio1.1x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 0QVL's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0QVL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 14.66
SEK 24.08
+64.3%
8.5%SEK 26.90SEK 21.66n/a4
Nov ’25SEK 13.86
SEK 23.37
+68.6%
8.6%SEK 26.04SEK 21.02n/a4
Oct ’25SEK 13.46
SEK 24.63
+83.0%
8.7%SEK 26.36SEK 21.05n/a4
Sep ’25SEK 15.52
SEK 24.49
+57.8%
8.8%SEK 26.38SEK 20.88n/a4
Aug ’25SEK 18.30
SEK 25.48
+39.2%
8.5%SEK 27.17SEK 21.82n/a4
Jul ’25SEK 19.02
SEK 25.50
+34.1%
8.5%SEK 27.21SEK 21.84n/a4
Jun ’25SEK 19.40
SEK 25.25
+30.2%
9.3%SEK 27.54SEK 22.04n/a3
May ’25SEK 19.70
SEK 25.61
+30.0%
9.1%SEK 27.82SEK 22.41n/a3
Apr ’25SEK 18.80
SEK 24.66
+31.2%
9.4%SEK 26.98SEK 21.49n/a3
Mar ’25SEK 16.05
SEK 24.28
+51.3%
9.5%SEK 26.61SEK 21.16n/a3
Feb ’25SEK 19.86
SEK 24.67
+24.2%
9.5%SEK 27.04SEK 21.50n/a3
Jan ’25SEK 18.96
SEK 25.85
+36.3%
13.4%SEK 28.70SEK 20.98n/a3
Dec ’24SEK 19.60
SEK 25.34
+29.3%
14.3%SEK 28.97SEK 21.71n/a2
Nov ’24SEK 20.86
SEK 26.23
+25.7%
14.4%SEK 30.00SEK 22.45SEK 13.862
Oct ’24SEK 22.47
SEK 26.42
+17.6%
14.9%SEK 30.36SEK 22.48SEK 13.462
Sep ’24SEK 26.05
SEK 26.40
+1.3%
14.8%SEK 30.32SEK 22.48SEK 15.522
Aug ’24SEK 24.75
SEK 25.12
+1.5%
16.1%SEK 29.17SEK 21.07SEK 18.302
Jul ’24SEK 22.61
SEK 25.32
+12.0%
12.8%SEK 28.56SEK 22.08SEK 19.022
Jun ’24SEK 23.08
SEK 25.08
+8.6%
11.2%SEK 27.88SEK 22.27SEK 19.402
May ’24SEK 20.12
SEK 23.98
+19.2%
11.3%SEK 26.69SEK 21.26SEK 19.702
Apr ’24SEK 23.26
SEK 23.74
+2.1%
10.7%SEK 26.27SEK 21.21SEK 18.802
Mar ’24SEK 20.78
SEK 23.20
+11.7%
7.4%SEK 24.91SEK 21.48SEK 16.052
Feb ’24SEK 21.00
SEK 23.00
+9.5%
8.3%SEK 24.90SEK 21.09SEK 19.862
Jan ’24SEK 18.99
SEK 24.17
+27.3%
11.3%SEK 26.90SEK 21.44SEK 18.962
Dec ’23SEK 22.22
SEK 24.60
+10.7%
12.3%SEK 27.62SEK 21.57SEK 19.602
Nov ’23SEK 27.15
SEK 25.54
-6.0%
11.0%SEK 28.35SEK 22.73SEK 20.862

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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