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Saras Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 0O2D when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

0O2D (€1.6) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (€1.48)

Is 0O2D undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0O2D when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0O2D (€1.6) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€1.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0O2D is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0O2D?

Key metric: As 0O2D is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0O2D. This is calculated by dividing 0O2D's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0O2D's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	5.1x
Earnings	€300.36m
Market Cap	€1.52b

0O2D key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	2.5x
PEG Ratio	-0.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0O2D's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0O2D vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	21.3x
SEPL Seplat Energy	19.3x	13.4%	UK£1.3b
ITH Ithaca Energy	14.9x	-8.8%	UK£1.9b
YCA Yellow Cake	2.1x	-112.5%	UK£1.2b
HBR Harbour Energy	48.9x	14.4%	UK£3.8b
0O2D Saras	5.1x	-43.5%	€1.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0O2D is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the peer average (20.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0O2D's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

2 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
ROSN Rosneft Oil	1.5x	n/a	US$21.03b
INDI Indus Gas	0.9x	n/a	US$17.28m

No more companies available in this PE range

2 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0O2D is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (10.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0O2D's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0O2D PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	5.1x
Fair PE Ratio	4.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0O2D is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0O2D forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	n/a	€1.65 0%	4.3%	€1.75	€1.60	n/a	3
Nov ’25	n/a	€1.65 0%	4.3%	€1.75	€1.60	n/a	3
Oct ’25	n/a	€1.65 0%	4.3%	€1.75	€1.60	n/a	3
Sep ’25	€1.60	€1.65 +3.1%	4.3%	€1.75	€1.60	n/a	3
Aug ’25	€1.60	€1.65 +3.2%	4.3%	€1.75	€1.60	n/a	3
Jul ’25	€1.62	€1.70 +5.0%	4.2%	€1.75	€1.60	n/a	3
Jun ’25	€1.62	€1.71 +6.0%	3.8%	€1.75	€1.60	n/a	4
Mar ’25	€1.75	€1.73 -1.3%	1.3%	€1.75	€1.70	n/a	4
Feb ’25	€1.55	€1.60 +3.3%	6.4%	€1.71	€1.50	n/a	4
Jan ’25	€1.62	€1.54 -5.1%	7.0%	€1.70	€1.40	n/a	4
Dec ’24	€1.51	€1.54 +2.0%	7.0%	€1.70	€1.40	n/a	4
Nov ’24	€1.38	€1.54 +11.4%	7.1%	€1.70	€1.40	n/a	4
Oct ’24	€1.36	€1.49 +9.0%	7.8%	€1.60	€1.30	n/a	4
Sep ’24	€1.32	€1.47 +11.4%	8.3%	€1.60	€1.30	€1.60	4
Aug ’24	€1.23	€1.48 +19.8%	9.0%	€1.61	€1.30	€1.60	4
Jul ’24	€1.14	€1.69 +47.8%	26.3%	€2.55	€1.30	€1.62	5
Jun ’24	€1.11	€1.69 +51.8%	26.3%	€2.55	€1.30	€1.62	5
May ’24	€1.17	€1.75 +49.9%	23.5%	€2.55	€1.40	€1.77	5
Apr ’24	€1.44	€1.81 +25.7%	24.5%	€2.55	€1.45	€1.77	4
Mar ’24	€1.45	€1.85 +27.3%	22.7%	€2.55	€1.30	€1.75	5
Feb ’24	€1.65	€1.68 +1.5%	15.4%	€2.00	€1.30	€1.55	4
Jan ’24	€1.16	€1.55 +33.9%	22.9%	€2.15	€1.10	€1.62	5
Dec ’23	€1.16	€1.55 +33.8%	22.9%	€2.15	€1.10	€1.51	5
Nov ’23	€1.23	€1.57 +28.2%	21.7%	€2.15	€1.10	€1.38	5

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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