Aker BP Valuation

Is 0M5J undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0M5J when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0M5J (NOK265.37) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NOK1167.67)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0M5J is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0M5J?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0M5J key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA1.6x
PEG Ratio-3.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0M5J's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0M5J vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.1x
HBR Harbour Energy
95.7x48.7%UK£2.4b
ENOG Energean
15x19.4%UK£2.2b
ITH Ithaca Energy
6.9x19.3%UK£1.2b
SQZ Serica Energy
6.9x7.3%UK£708.7m
0M5J Aker BP
9.5x-2.8%kr168.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0M5J is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the peer average (31.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0M5J's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0M5J is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (11x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0M5J's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0M5J PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.5x
Fair PE Ratio7.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0M5J is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0M5J forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentkr265.37
kr318.53
+20.0%
13.4%kr415.00kr230.00n/a19
May ’25kr272.00
kr321.68
+18.3%
13.2%kr415.00kr230.00n/a19
Apr ’25kr269.80
kr321.06
+19.0%
12.9%kr415.00kr230.00n/a18
Mar ’25kr260.44
kr320.74
+23.2%
14.1%kr415.00kr230.00n/a19
Feb ’25kr281.69
kr340.63
+20.9%
11.4%kr415.00kr275.00n/a19
Jan ’25kr296.19
kr352.50
+19.0%
11.0%kr420.00kr275.00n/a18
Dec ’24kr308.11
kr352.50
+14.4%
11.0%kr420.00kr275.00n/a18
Nov ’24kr315.05
kr351.17
+11.5%
11.4%kr420.00kr275.00n/a18
Oct ’24kr299.26
kr330.65
+10.5%
13.1%kr425.00kr240.00n/a17
Sep ’24kr294.72
kr327.83
+11.2%
13.7%kr425.00kr240.00n/a18
Aug ’24kr280.72
kr327.28
+16.6%
13.7%kr425.00kr240.00n/a18
Jul ’24kr251.80
kr333.76
+32.6%
12.4%kr420.00kr240.00n/a17
Jun ’24kr242.83
kr337.44
+39.0%
12.7%kr420.00kr240.00n/a16
May ’24kr254.53
kr340.94
+33.9%
13.8%kr420.00kr240.00kr272.0016
Apr ’24kr252.10
kr354.00
+40.4%
11.0%kr435.00kr275.00kr269.8016
Mar ’24kr281.11
kr357.13
+27.0%
11.2%kr435.00kr275.00kr260.4416
Feb ’24kr304.10
kr371.44
+22.1%
12.6%kr455.00kr270.00kr281.6916
Jan ’24kr304.50
kr382.75
+25.7%
13.5%kr455.00kr270.00kr296.1916
Dec ’23kr339.09
kr377.27
+11.3%
15.1%kr465.00kr275.00kr308.1115
Nov ’23kr338.40
kr378.06
+11.7%
15.2%kr465.00kr275.00kr315.0516
Oct ’23kr314.55
kr380.53
+21.0%
15.5%kr500.00kr275.00kr299.2617
Sep ’23kr340.76
kr380.53
+11.7%
15.5%kr500.00kr275.00kr294.7217
Aug ’23kr333.37
kr378.06
+13.4%
14.5%kr460.00kr275.00kr280.7216
Jul ’23kr335.60
kr374.87
+11.7%
16.4%kr510.00kr275.00kr251.8015
Jun ’23kr396.40
kr352.54
-11.1%
16.6%kr440.00kr235.00kr242.8313
May ’23kr341.10
kr329.36
-3.4%
16.9%kr440.00kr235.00kr254.5314

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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