Occidental Petroleum Corporation

LSE:0KAK Stock Report

Market Cap: US$44.2b

Occidental Petroleum Valuation

Is 0KAK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0KAK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0KAK ($47.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($83.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0KAK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0KAK?

Key metric: As 0KAK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0KAK. This is calculated by dividing 0KAK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0KAK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.5x
EarningsUS$3.53b
Market CapUS$44.22b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0KAK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0KAK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22x
BP. BP
27.4x29.4%UK£59.3b
SHEL Shell
12x4.9%UK£148.8b
HBR Harbour Energy
45.3x14.4%UK£3.5b
LKOH PJSC LUKOIL
3.3xn/a₽2.5t
0KAK Occidental Petroleum
12.5x6.3%US$44.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0KAK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the peer average (28.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0KAK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ROSN Rosneft Oil
1.5xn/aUS$21.03b
No more companies available in this PE range
0KAK 12.5xIndustry Avg. 9.1xNo. of Companies4PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0KAK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (9.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0KAK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0KAK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.5x
Fair PE Ratio17.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0KAK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0KAK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$47.10
US$62.14
+31.9%
14.4%US$89.00US$51.00n/a27
Dec ’25US$50.58
US$62.89
+24.3%
13.7%US$89.00US$52.00n/a27
Nov ’25US$49.68
US$64.22
+29.3%
13.3%US$89.00US$54.00n/a27
Oct ’25US$53.25
US$67.88
+27.5%
13.4%US$89.00US$53.00n/a25
Sep ’25US$56.81
US$71.44
+25.8%
11.0%US$89.00US$58.00n/a25
Aug ’25US$58.85
US$71.38
+21.3%
10.1%US$85.00US$53.00n/a24
Jul ’25US$63.00
US$71.65
+13.7%
10.6%US$90.00US$53.00n/a23
Jun ’25US$62.31
US$71.61
+14.9%
10.6%US$90.00US$53.00n/a23
May ’25US$63.74
US$71.54
+12.2%
10.8%US$90.00US$57.00n/a24
Apr ’25US$64.95
US$66.22
+2.0%
7.9%US$77.00US$57.00n/a22
Mar ’25US$61.33
US$65.72
+7.2%
9.2%US$80.00US$56.00n/a22
Feb ’25US$57.36
US$67.20
+17.2%
10.9%US$85.00US$59.00n/a22
Jan ’25US$59.64
US$68.67
+15.1%
10.1%US$85.00US$59.00n/a23
Dec ’24US$59.13
US$70.25
+18.8%
9.5%US$85.00US$60.00US$50.5824
Nov ’24US$61.66
US$70.32
+14.0%
9.8%US$85.00US$60.00US$49.6825
Oct ’24US$64.90
US$68.92
+6.2%
9.7%US$85.00US$59.00US$53.2525
Sep ’24US$64.78
US$67.50
+4.2%
9.0%US$80.00US$57.00US$56.8124
Aug ’24US$62.40
US$66.42
+6.4%
9.3%US$81.00US$56.00US$58.8524
Jul ’24US$59.35
US$68.00
+14.6%
11.0%US$82.00US$54.00US$63.0024
Jun ’24US$59.01
US$68.96
+16.9%
12.7%US$87.00US$54.00US$62.3124
May ’24US$62.02
US$70.88
+14.3%
14.1%US$93.00US$53.00US$63.7426
Apr ’24US$62.62
US$70.81
+13.1%
13.7%US$93.00US$53.00US$64.9526
Mar ’24US$59.84
US$73.08
+22.1%
12.6%US$93.00US$57.00US$61.3326
Feb ’24US$63.09
US$74.77
+18.5%
13.5%US$100.00US$57.00US$57.3626
Jan ’24US$62.45
US$75.88
+21.5%
13.3%US$100.00US$57.00US$59.6426
Dec ’23US$68.92
US$76.62
+11.2%
13.9%US$100.00US$57.00US$59.1326

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 08:58
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Occidental Petroleum Corporation is covered by 61 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Finbarr MacCarthyAtlantic Equities LLP
Thomas DriscollBarclays