Gevo, Inc.

LSE:0A41 Stock Report

Market Cap: US$276.1m

Gevo Valuation

Is 0A41 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0A41 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 0A41's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 0A41's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0A41?

Key metric: As 0A41 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 0A41. This is calculated by dividing 0A41's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 0A41's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio16.3x
SalesUS$16.92m
Market CapUS$276.11m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0A41's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0A41 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.7x
TLW Tullow Oil
0.2x-12.4%UK£198.2m
HSP Hargreaves Services
0.8x3.1%UK£186.2m
ZPHR Zephyr Energy
4.5x38.9%UK£79.7m
CNE Capricorn Energy
1.3x-10.0%UK£148.5m
0A41 Gevo
16.3x21.1%US$276.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0A41 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (16.3x) compared to the peer average (1.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 0A41's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ROSN Rosneft Oil
0.1xn/aUS$21.03b
ENQ EnQuest
0.3x-7.6%US$340.73m
TLW Tullow Oil
0.2x-12.4%US$264.02m
NWF NWF Group
0.09x7.5%US$114.94m
0A41 16.3xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies11PS01.22.43.64.86+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0A41 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (16.3x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0A41's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0A41 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio16.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.03x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 0A41 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (16.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0A41 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$1.17
US$5.45
+365.8%
110.9%US$14.00US$1.15n/a3
Apr ’26US$1.15
US$6.22
+441.1%
89.4%US$14.00US$1.40n/a3
Mar ’26US$1.39
US$6.22
+348.9%
89.4%US$14.00US$1.40n/a3
Feb ’26US$1.80
US$6.22
+245.4%
89.4%US$14.00US$1.40n/a3
Jan ’26US$2.02
US$6.22
+207.7%
89.4%US$14.00US$1.40n/a3
Dec ’25US$1.64
US$5.95
+262.8%
97.4%US$14.00US$0.60n/a3
Nov ’25US$2.29
US$5.15
+125.0%
121.5%US$14.00US$0.60n/a3
Oct ’25US$1.55
US$5.15
+232.5%
121.5%US$14.00US$0.60n/a3
Sep ’25US$0.78
US$5.15
+560.7%
121.5%US$14.00US$0.60n/a3
Aug ’25US$0.56
US$5.15
+815.6%
121.5%US$14.00US$0.60n/a3
Jul ’25US$0.59
US$5.18
+773.3%
120.3%US$14.00US$0.70n/a3
Jun ’25US$0.70
US$5.18
+637.0%
120.3%US$14.00US$0.70n/a3
May ’25US$0.67
US$4.29
+535.4%
130.9%US$14.00US$0.80n/a4
Apr ’25US$0.76
US$4.59
+503.2%
118.9%US$14.00US$0.80US$1.154
Mar ’25US$0.94
US$4.64
+394.6%
116.8%US$14.00US$1.00US$1.394
Feb ’25US$0.94
US$4.64
+392.6%
116.8%US$14.00US$1.00US$1.804
Jan ’25US$1.18
US$4.21
+257.3%
116.4%US$14.00US$1.36US$2.025
Dec ’24US$1.16
US$4.24
+265.5%
115.3%US$14.00US$1.50US$1.645
Nov ’24US$1.06
US$4.52
+326.4%
106.2%US$14.00US$1.50US$2.295
Oct ’24US$1.14
US$4.48
+293.0%
107.4%US$14.00US$1.50US$1.555
Sep ’24US$1.33
US$4.48
+238.1%
107.4%US$14.00US$1.50US$0.785
Aug ’24US$1.61
US$5.93
+267.8%
118.2%US$18.00US$1.30US$0.564
Jul ’24US$1.52
US$5.93
+291.1%
118.2%US$18.00US$1.30US$0.594
Jun ’24US$1.40
US$5.93
+323.8%
118.2%US$18.00US$1.30US$0.704
May ’24US$1.15
US$6.50
+465.2%
103.4%US$18.00US$1.40US$0.674
Apr ’24US$1.54
US$6.89
+348.7%
94.5%US$18.00US$2.25US$0.764
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
US$5.36
Fair Value
78.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/27 06:27
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/25 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Gevo, Inc. is covered by 16 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
J. HorwitzBaird
John QuealyCanaccord Genuity
Prashant RaoCitigroup Inc