Zephyr Energy plc

AIM:ZPHR Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£52.5m

Zephyr Energy Valuation

Is ZPHR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ZPHR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ZPHR (£0.03) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£0.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ZPHR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ZPHR?

Key metric: As ZPHR is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ZPHR. This is calculated by dividing ZPHR's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ZPHR's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.8x
SalesUS$23.49m
Market CapUS$66.04m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ZPHR's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ZPHR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.4x
WEN Wentworth Resources
1.8x-25.3%UK£58.2m
CASP Caspian Sunrise
2.4x-11.2%UK£72.2m
KIST Kistos Holdings
0.5x12.0%UK£85.8m
PHAR Pharos Energy
0.9x-7.1%UK£97.2m
ZPHR Zephyr Energy
2.8x37.3%UK£52.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ZPHR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.8x) compared to the peer average (1.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ZPHR's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

12 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ROSN Rosneft Oil
0.1xn/aUS$21.03b
TLW Tullow Oil
0.2x-6.8%US$360.19m
ENQ EnQuest
0.2x-9.5%US$263.93m
NWF NWF Group
0.08x4.8%US$94.83m
ZPHR 2.8xIndustry Avg. 1.3xNo. of Companies12PS01.22.43.64.86+
12 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ZPHR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.8x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (1.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ZPHR's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ZPHR PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.8x
Fair PS Ratio2.5x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ZPHR is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ZPHR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.03
UK£0.13
+341.1%
2.5%UK£0.14UK£0.13n/a3
Dec ’25UK£0.026
UK£0.13
+399.4%
2.5%UK£0.14UK£0.13n/a3
Nov ’25UK£0.03
UK£0.14
+374.4%
9.0%UK£0.16UK£0.13n/a3
Oct ’25UK£0.035
UK£0.14
+306.7%
9.0%UK£0.16UK£0.13n/a3
Sep ’25UK£0.037
UK£0.13
+255.9%
6.5%UK£0.14UK£0.12n/a3
Aug ’25UK£0.043
UK£0.13
+210.6%
6.5%UK£0.14UK£0.12n/a3
Jul ’25UK£0.051
UK£0.12
+136.9%
8.8%UK£0.14UK£0.11n/a3
Jun ’25UK£0.053
UK£0.13
+134.3%
12.1%UK£0.15UK£0.11n/a3
May ’25UK£0.046
UK£0.13
+186.0%
9.8%UK£0.15UK£0.12n/a2
Apr ’25UK£0.042
UK£0.13
+216.7%
9.8%UK£0.15UK£0.12n/a2
Mar ’25UK£0.022
UK£0.16
+636.4%
1.2%UK£0.16UK£0.16n/a2
Feb ’25UK£0.025
UK£0.16
+535.3%
1.2%UK£0.16UK£0.16n/a2
Jan ’25UK£0.027
UK£0.16
+500.0%
1.2%UK£0.16UK£0.16n/a2
Dec ’24UK£0.022
UK£0.16
+620.0%
1.2%UK£0.16UK£0.16UK£0.0262
Nov ’24UK£0.029
UK£0.16
+449.2%
1.2%UK£0.16UK£0.16UK£0.032
Oct ’24UK£0.026
UK£0.17
+561.5%
4.7%UK£0.18UK£0.16UK£0.0352
Sep ’24UK£0.033
UK£0.17
+435.4%
3.4%UK£0.18UK£0.17UK£0.0372
Aug ’24UK£0.038
UK£0.17
+357.9%
3.4%UK£0.18UK£0.17UK£0.0432
Jul ’24UK£0.038
UK£0.17
+357.9%
3.4%UK£0.18UK£0.17UK£0.0512
Jun ’24UK£0.037
UK£0.18
+400.0%
8.1%UK£0.20UK£0.17UK£0.0532
May ’24UK£0.045
UK£0.18
+306.6%
8.1%UK£0.20UK£0.17UK£0.0462
Apr ’24UK£0.051
UK£0.18
+262.7%
8.1%UK£0.20UK£0.17UK£0.0422
Mar ’24UK£0.056
UK£0.18
+233.3%
8.1%UK£0.20UK£0.17UK£0.0222
Feb ’24UK£0.072
UK£0.18
+150.0%
11.1%UK£0.20UK£0.16UK£0.0252
Dec ’23UK£0.06
UK£0.14
+133.9%
13.1%UK£0.16UK£0.12UK£0.0222

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 17:24
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Zephyr Energy plc is covered by 5 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Stephane Guy FoucaudAuctus Advisors LLP
Charlie SharpCanaccord Genuity
Philip HallamCanaccord Genuity