Genel Energy plc

BATS-CHIXE:GENLL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£257.5m

Genel Energy Valuation

Is GENLL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GENLL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GENLL (£0.93) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£1.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GENLL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GENLL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GENLL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.8x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GENLL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GENLL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.5x
GKP Gulf Keystone Petroleum
3x25.1%UK£291.8m
SAVE Savannah Energy
1.9xn/aUK£343.8m
JSE Jadestone Energy
0.7x6.9%UK£170.4m
ENQ EnQuest
0.2x-12.6%UK£245.8m
GENLL Genel Energy
3.9x10.7%UK£257.5m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GENLL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.9x) compared to the peer average (1.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GENLL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GENLL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.9x) compared to the UK Oil and Gas industry average (1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GENLL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GENLL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.9x
Fair PS Ratio2.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: GENLL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GENLL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.93
UK£0.99
+6.6%
10.7%UK£1.10UK£0.85n/a3
Jun ’25UK£0.97
UK£0.99
+2.8%
10.7%UK£1.10UK£0.85n/a3
May ’25UK£0.86
UK£0.97
+13.4%
8.2%UK£1.05UK£0.86n/a3
Apr ’25UK£0.83
UK£0.97
+15.8%
8.7%UK£1.05UK£0.85n/a3
Mar ’25UK£0.84
UK£0.99
+17.7%
10.7%UK£1.11UK£0.85n/a3
Feb ’25UK£0.72
UK£0.97
+35.3%
10.6%UK£1.10UK£0.85n/a3
Jan ’25UK£0.78
UK£1.06
+37.0%
14.6%UK£1.28UK£0.95n/a3
Dec ’24UK£0.73
UK£1.06
+46.2%
14.6%UK£1.28UK£0.95n/a3
Nov ’24UK£0.82
UK£1.37
+67.5%
5.9%UK£1.45UK£1.29n/a2
Oct ’24UK£0.80
UK£1.39
+73.8%
0.6%UK£1.40UK£1.38n/a2
Sep ’24UK£0.83
UK£1.39
+66.7%
0.6%UK£1.40UK£1.38n/a2
Aug ’24UK£1.04
UK£1.36
+31.0%
0.3%UK£1.37UK£1.36n/a2
Jul ’24UK£1.04
UK£1.47
+42.2%
4.6%UK£1.54UK£1.41n/a2
Jun ’24UK£1.12
UK£1.74
+56.2%
22.3%UK£2.29UK£1.40UK£0.973
May ’24UK£1.11
UK£1.78
+61.2%
17.0%UK£2.30UK£1.55UK£0.864
Apr ’24UK£1.17
UK£1.84
+57.2%
15.4%UK£2.33UK£1.62UK£0.834
Mar ’24UK£1.27
UK£1.82
+43.6%
15.0%UK£2.30UK£1.62UK£0.844
Feb ’24UK£1.29
UK£1.82
+41.3%
15.0%UK£2.30UK£1.62UK£0.724
Jan ’24UK£1.27
UK£1.90
+50.2%
13.9%UK£2.29UK£1.63UK£0.784
Dec ’23UK£1.41
UK£1.98
+40.8%
12.0%UK£2.30UK£1.70UK£0.734
Nov ’23UK£1.30
UK£2.01
+54.9%
15.3%UK£2.49UK£1.69UK£0.824
Oct ’23UK£1.24
UK£2.00
+60.4%
11.5%UK£2.30UK£1.71UK£0.804
Sep ’23UK£1.45
UK£2.00
+37.8%
11.5%UK£2.30UK£1.71UK£0.834
Aug ’23UK£1.45
UK£2.06
+42.2%
10.5%UK£2.37UK£1.81UK£1.044
Jul ’23UK£1.34
UK£2.06
+53.6%
10.2%UK£2.30UK£1.84UK£1.044
Jun ’23UK£1.62
UK£2.00
+24.0%
9.9%UK£2.24UK£1.79UK£1.124

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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