Stock Analysis

Institutional shareholders may be less affected by Rockhopper Exploration plc's (LON:RKH) pullback last week after a year of 3.1% returns

Published
AIM:RKH

Key Insights

  • Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, Rockhopper Exploration's stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions
  • 50% of the business is held by the top 24 shareholders
  • Using data from company's past performance alongside ownership research, one can better assess the future performance of a company

A look at the shareholders of Rockhopper Exploration plc (LON:RKH) can tell us which group is most powerful. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 50% to be precise, is institutions. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

Institutional investors was the group most impacted after the company's market cap fell to UK£86m last week. Still, the 3.1% one-year gains may have helped mitigate their overall losses. We would assume however, that they would be on the lookout for weakness in the future.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of Rockhopper Exploration.

See our latest analysis for Rockhopper Exploration

AIM:RKH Ownership Breakdown June 29th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Rockhopper Exploration?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

We can see that Rockhopper Exploration does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. It is not uncommon to see a big share price drop if two large institutional investors try to sell out of a stock at the same time. So it is worth checking the past earnings trajectory of Rockhopper Exploration, (below). Of course, keep in mind that there are other factors to consider, too.

AIM:RKH Earnings and Revenue Growth June 29th 2024

It looks like hedge funds own 7.7% of Rockhopper Exploration shares. That catches my attention because hedge funds sometimes try to influence management, or bring about changes that will create near term value for shareholders. Aedos Advisers (London) LLP is currently the company's largest shareholder with 7.7% of shares outstanding. For context, the second largest shareholder holds about 7.5% of the shares outstanding, followed by an ownership of 5.6% by the third-largest shareholder. Additionally, the company's CEO Samuel Moody directly holds 0.7% of the total shares outstanding.

A closer look at our ownership figures suggests that the top 24 shareholders have a combined ownership of 50% implying that no single shareholder has a majority.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. While there is some analyst coverage, the company is probably not widely covered. So it could gain more attention, down the track.

Insider Ownership Of Rockhopper Exploration

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own less than 1% of Rockhopper Exploration plc. It seems the board members have no more than UK£670k worth of shares in the UK£86m company. Many tend to prefer to see a board with bigger shareholdings. A good next step might be to take a look at this free summary of insider buying and selling.

General Public Ownership

With a 41% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Rockhopper Exploration. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Rockhopper Exploration better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks for example - Rockhopper Exploration has 3 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.