Stock Analysis

RIT Capital Partners' (LON:RCP) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

LSE:RCP
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The board of RIT Capital Partners plc (LON:RCP) has announced that the dividend on 29th of October will be increased to UK£0.18, which will be 0.7% higher than last year. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 1.3% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for RIT Capital Partners

RIT Capital Partners' Earnings Easily Cover the Distributions

If it is predictable over a long period, even low dividend yields can be attractive. Before making this announcement, RIT Capital Partners was paying a whopping 143% as a dividend, but this only made up 4.3% of its overall earnings. A cash payout ratio this high could put the dividend under pressure and force the company to reduce it in the future if it were to run into tough times.

If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 58.1% over the next 12 months. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 2.8% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
LSE:RCP Historic Dividend September 24th 2021

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least 1 cut in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from UK£0.04 in 2011 to the most recent annual payment of UK£0.35. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 24% a year over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. We are encouraged to see that RIT Capital Partners has grown earnings per share at 58% per year over the past five years. A low payout ratio gives the company a lot of flexibility, and growing earnings also make it very easy for it to grow the dividend.

In Summary

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for RIT Capital Partners that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. We have also put together a list of global stocks with a solid dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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