3i Group Valuation

Is III undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of III when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: III (£28.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£87.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: III is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for III?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

III key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue6.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.3x
PEG Ratio7.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does III's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for III vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.9x
ICG Intermediate Capital Group
13.9x7.5%UK£5.7b
SDR Schroders
14.9x9.3%UK£5.8b
HL. Hargreaves Lansdown
11.7x3.0%UK£3.5b
EMG Man Group
15.2x17.2%UK£2.9b
III 3i Group
6.1x0.8%UK£27.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: III is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the peer average (13.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does III's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Capital Markets Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a16.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: III is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the UK Capital Markets industry average (15.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is III's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

III PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.1x
Fair PE Ratio17.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: III is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst III forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£28.50
UK£29.21
+2.5%
6.6%UK£32.00UK£26.47n/a9
Apr ’25UK£28.09
UK£29.21
+4.0%
6.6%UK£32.00UK£26.47n/a9
Mar ’25UK£25.07
UK£27.61
+10.1%
2.9%UK£28.50UK£26.47n/a9
Feb ’25UK£23.51
UK£27.02
+14.9%
4.6%UK£28.47UK£24.80n/a9
Jan ’25UK£24.21
UK£24.24
+0.1%
7.0%UK£26.00UK£20.50n/a8
Dec ’24UK£22.48
UK£24.06
+7.0%
7.3%UK£26.00UK£20.50n/a7
Nov ’24UK£19.88
UK£23.53
+18.4%
5.3%UK£24.75UK£21.00n/a6
Oct ’24UK£20.73
UK£23.46
+13.2%
5.0%UK£24.70UK£21.00n/a6
Sep ’24UK£19.99
UK£23.46
+17.4%
5.0%UK£24.70UK£21.00n/a6
Aug ’24UK£19.49
UK£23.46
+20.4%
5.0%UK£24.70UK£21.00n/a6
Jul ’24UK£19.49
UK£22.43
+15.1%
6.8%UK£24.31UK£20.00n/a6
Jun ’24UK£19.37
UK£21.33
+10.1%
14.3%UK£24.31UK£14.72n/a7
May ’24UK£17.67
UK£20.19
+14.2%
13.3%UK£23.13UK£14.72n/a7
Apr ’24UK£16.85
UK£20.19
+19.8%
13.3%UK£23.13UK£14.72UK£28.097
Mar ’24UK£16.37
UK£19.70
+20.4%
12.1%UK£22.75UK£14.72UK£25.077
Feb ’24UK£16.10
UK£19.70
+22.4%
12.1%UK£22.75UK£14.72UK£23.517
Jan ’24UK£13.42
UK£17.62
+31.3%
10.5%UK£20.25UK£14.72UK£24.217
Dec ’23UK£13.16
UK£17.62
+33.9%
10.5%UK£20.25UK£14.72UK£22.487
Nov ’23UK£11.94
UK£16.99
+42.3%
8.9%UK£19.40UK£14.72UK£19.887
Oct ’23UK£10.93
UK£16.85
+54.2%
9.2%UK£19.40UK£14.72UK£20.737
Sep ’23UK£11.34
UK£16.85
+48.7%
9.2%UK£19.40UK£14.72UK£19.997
Aug ’23UK£12.61
UK£16.88
+33.9%
9.2%UK£19.40UK£14.72UK£19.497
Jul ’23UK£11.02
UK£17.44
+58.3%
6.5%UK£19.40UK£15.50UK£19.497
Jun ’23UK£12.39
UK£17.44
+40.8%
6.5%UK£19.40UK£15.50UK£19.377
May ’23UK£13.25
UK£17.03
+28.5%
7.4%UK£18.40UK£14.44UK£17.677
Apr ’23UK£13.82
UK£17.03
+23.3%
7.4%UK£18.40UK£14.44UK£16.857

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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