Hargreaves Lansdown plc

LSE:HL. Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£5.2b

Hargreaves Lansdown Valuation

Is HL. undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HL. when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HL. (£10.95) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£13.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HL. is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HL.?

Key metric: As HL. is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HL.. This is calculated by dividing HL.'s market cap by their current earnings.
What is HL.'s PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.7x
EarningsUK£293.20m
Market CapUK£5.19b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HL.'s PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HL. vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.2x
SDR Schroders
13.2x13.2%UK£5.0b
ICG Intermediate Capital Group
15.5x11.8%UK£6.2b
BPT Bridgepoint Group
45.9x33.0%UK£3.0b
PHLL Petershill Partners
10.1x34.7%UK£2.7b
HL. Hargreaves Lansdown
17.7x1.8%UK£5.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HL. is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the peer average (21.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HL.'s PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Capital Markets Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PNIX Phoenix Digital Assets
1.3xn/aUS$36.71m
IX. i(x) Net Zero
0.1xn/aUS$8.94m
APQ APQ Global
0.5xn/aUS$6.48m
MAFL Mineral & Financial Investments
2.5xn/aUS$6.24m
No more companies available in this PE range
HL. 17.7xIndustry Avg. 11.7xNo. of Companies16PE01020304050+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HL. is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the UK Capital Markets industry average (11.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HL.'s PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HL. PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.7x
Fair PE Ratio16.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HL. is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HL. forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£10.95
UK£11.29
+3.1%
7.7%UK£13.42UK£9.38n/a11
Dec ’25UK£10.94
UK£11.29
+3.3%
7.7%UK£13.42UK£9.38n/a11
Nov ’25UK£10.88
UK£11.23
+3.2%
7.7%UK£13.42UK£9.38n/a12
Oct ’25UK£11.12
UK£10.83
-2.6%
12.2%UK£13.42UK£7.60n/a13
Sep ’25UK£11.11
UK£10.78
-3.0%
13.4%UK£13.42UK£6.95n/a13
Aug ’25UK£10.96
UK£10.19
-6.9%
20.1%UK£13.42UK£6.85n/a14
Jul ’25UK£11.27
UK£9.84
-12.7%
22.3%UK£13.42UK£6.30n/a14
Jun ’25UK£10.56
UK£9.36
-11.3%
25.1%UK£15.00UK£6.30n/a17
May ’25UK£8.09
UK£9.31
+15.0%
26.2%UK£15.00UK£6.20n/a17
Apr ’25UK£7.36
UK£9.22
+25.2%
27.5%UK£15.00UK£6.00n/a18
Mar ’25UK£7.38
UK£9.22
+24.9%
27.5%UK£15.00UK£6.00n/a18
Feb ’25UK£7.58
UK£9.63
+27.0%
32.2%UK£17.00UK£6.00n/a18
Jan ’25UK£7.34
UK£9.64
+31.3%
32.5%UK£17.00UK£6.00n/a18
Dec ’24UK£7.12
UK£9.66
+35.6%
32.2%UK£17.00UK£6.00UK£10.9418
Nov ’24UK£7.10
UK£9.97
+40.3%
30.1%UK£17.00UK£6.00UK£10.8817
Oct ’24UK£7.73
UK£10.25
+32.6%
29.9%UK£17.25UK£6.60UK£11.1218
Sep ’24UK£7.66
UK£9.96
+30.0%
28.2%UK£16.50UK£6.50UK£11.1119
Aug ’24UK£8.40
UK£10.10
+20.3%
26.5%UK£16.50UK£7.00UK£10.9619
Jul ’24UK£8.16
UK£10.02
+22.8%
27.5%UK£16.79UK£7.00UK£11.2719
Jun ’24UK£8.05
UK£10.15
+26.0%
27.3%UK£16.79UK£7.00UK£10.5618
May ’24UK£8.03
UK£10.19
+26.9%
26.7%UK£16.79UK£7.00UK£8.0918
Apr ’24UK£7.99
UK£10.07
+25.9%
26.8%UK£16.79UK£6.61UK£7.3620
Mar ’24UK£8.36
UK£10.14
+21.2%
26.2%UK£16.79UK£6.61UK£7.3820
Feb ’24UK£8.82
UK£10.31
+16.8%
22.8%UK£16.50UK£7.80UK£7.5819
Jan ’24UK£8.56
UK£10.34
+20.8%
22.2%UK£16.50UK£7.80UK£7.3420
Dec ’23UK£8.53
UK£10.39
+21.9%
22.0%UK£16.50UK£7.80UK£7.1220

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 06:46
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Hargreaves Lansdown plc is covered by 35 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Daniel GarrodBarclays
Peter RichardsonBerenberg
Arnaud Maurice GiblatBNP Paribas Exane