Funding Circle Holdings plc

BATS-CHIXE:FCHL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£428.9m

Funding Circle Holdings Valuation

Is FCHL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FCHL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate FCHL's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate FCHL's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FCHL?

Key metric: As FCHL is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for FCHL. This is calculated by dividing FCHL's market cap by their current revenue.
What is FCHL's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio2.3x
SalesUK£187.60m
Market CapUK£428.90m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does FCHL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for FCHL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.9x
IPF International Personal Finance
0.4x5.3%UK£291.0m
SUS S&U
2.4x20.5%UK£160.4m
VANQ Vanquis Banking Group
0.3x13.5%UK£101.0m
HAT H&T Group
0.6x7.9%UK£150.0m
FCHL Funding Circle Holdings
2.3x9.0%UK£428.9m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: FCHL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the peer average (0.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does FCHL's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Finance Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies6PS01.63.24.86.48+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: FCHL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the European Consumer Finance industry average (1.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FCHL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FCHL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio2.3x
Fair PS Ratio1.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: FCHL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FCHL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£1.33
UK£1.63
+23.3%
7.6%UK£1.80UK£1.50n/a3
Nov ’25UK£1.34
UK£1.63
+22.3%
7.6%UK£1.80UK£1.50n/a3
Oct ’25UK£1.37
UK£1.63
+19.2%
7.6%UK£1.80UK£1.50n/a3
Sep ’25UK£1.06
UK£1.25
+17.9%
29.8%UK£1.70UK£0.70n/a4
Aug ’25UK£1.11
UK£1.35
+21.3%
37.7%UK£2.10UK£0.70n/a4
Jul ’25UK£1.04
UK£1.35
+30.4%
37.7%UK£2.10UK£0.70n/a4
Jun ’25UK£0.92
UK£1.31
+42.0%
57.9%UK£2.50UK£0.60n/a4
May ’25UK£0.67
UK£1.27
+88.5%
68.9%UK£2.50UK£0.60n/a3
Apr ’25UK£0.44
UK£1.25
+185.4%
60.5%UK£2.50UK£0.60n/a4
Mar ’25UK£0.29
UK£1.27
+337.9%
51.8%UK£2.50UK£0.70n/a5
Feb ’25UK£0.30
UK£1.19
+298.6%
52.5%UK£2.50UK£0.70n/a6
Jan ’25UK£0.39
UK£1.19
+205.6%
52.5%UK£2.50UK£0.70n/a6
Dec ’24UK£0.39
UK£1.19
+206.3%
52.5%UK£2.50UK£0.70n/a6
Nov ’24UK£0.34
UK£1.19
+249.5%
52.5%UK£2.50UK£0.70UK£1.346
Oct ’24UK£0.39
UK£1.19
+203.2%
52.5%UK£2.50UK£0.70UK£1.376
Sep ’24UK£0.43
UK£1.15
+167.1%
51.8%UK£2.50UK£0.62UK£1.067
Aug ’24UK£0.50
UK£1.15
+130.2%
51.8%UK£2.50UK£0.62UK£1.117
Jul ’24UK£0.57
UK£1.15
+102.9%
51.8%UK£2.50UK£0.62UK£1.047
Jun ’24UK£0.54
UK£1.15
+113.5%
51.8%UK£2.50UK£0.62UK£0.927
May ’24UK£0.54
UK£1.15
+114.3%
51.8%UK£2.50UK£0.62UK£0.677
Apr ’24UK£0.51
UK£1.14
+125.4%
55.8%UK£2.50UK£0.66UK£0.446
Mar ’24UK£0.59
UK£1.38
+131.9%
64.8%UK£3.30UK£0.66UK£0.296
Feb ’24UK£0.62
UK£1.38
+122.9%
64.8%UK£3.30UK£0.66UK£0.306
Jan ’24UK£0.53
UK£1.47
+179.4%
71.7%UK£3.75UK£0.66UK£0.396
Dec ’23UK£0.55
UK£1.47
+167.2%
71.7%UK£3.75UK£0.66UK£0.396
Nov ’23UK£0.45
UK£1.47
+229.6%
71.7%UK£3.75UK£0.66UK£0.346

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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