Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Mitchells & Butlers (LON:MAB) Is Using Debt Extensively

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Mitchells & Butlers plc (LON:MAB) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Mitchells & Butlers

What Is Mitchells & Butlers's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Mitchells & Butlers had debt of UK£1.45b at the end of April 2023, a reduction from UK£1.64b over a year. However, it also had UK£180.0m in cash, and so its net debt is UK£1.27b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:MAB Debt to Equity History June 16th 2023

How Strong Is Mitchells & Butlers' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Mitchells & Butlers had liabilities of UK£667.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£2.11b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£180.0m as well as receivables valued at UK£89.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£2.51b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the UK£1.22b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Mitchells & Butlers would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While we wouldn't worry about Mitchells & Butlers's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.1, we think its super-low interest cover of 2.0 times is a sign of high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that Mitchells & Butlers actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 193%, over the last 12 months. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Mitchells & Butlers can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last two years, Mitchells & Butlers actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

While Mitchells & Butlers's level of total liabilities has us nervous. To wit both its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate were encouraging signs. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Mitchells & Butlers is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Mitchells & Butlers you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About LSE:MAB

Mitchells & Butlers

Engages in the management of pubs, bars, and restaurants in the United Kingdom and Germany.

Undervalued with proven track record.

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