The Gym Group plc

LSE:GYM Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£263.4m

Gym Group Valuation

Is GYM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GYM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GYM (£1.47) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£1.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GYM is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GYM?

Key metric: As GYM is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for GYM. This is calculated by dividing GYM's market cap by their current revenue.
What is GYM's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.2x
SalesUK£216.30m
Market CapUK£263.43m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GYM's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GYM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.4x
TEG Ten Entertainment Group
2.2x8.1%UK£286.0m
BOWL Hollywood Bowl Group
2.2x7.4%UK£508.5m
NYR Newbury Racecourse
0.9xn/aUK£17.4m
XPF XP Factory
0.5x17.8%UK£21.4m
GYM Gym Group
1.2x8.6%UK£263.4m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GYM is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the peer average (1.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does GYM's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Hospitality Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TRC Revel Collective
0.05x-3.1%US$8.95m
NGHT Nightcap
0.1xn/aUS$8.62m
COM Comptoir Group
0.1xn/aUS$5.86m
TAST Tasty
0.04x-15.3%US$2.36m
GYM 1.2xIndustry Avg. 1.0xNo. of Companies7PS00.61.21.82.43+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GYM is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the UK Hospitality industry average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GYM's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GYM PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.2x
Fair PS Ratio1.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: GYM is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GYM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£1.47
UK£1.89
+28.4%
10.9%UK£2.25UK£1.45n/a10
Dec ’25UK£1.59
UK£1.88
+18.4%
10.9%UK£2.25UK£1.45n/a10
Nov ’25UK£1.58
UK£1.88
+19.2%
10.9%UK£2.25UK£1.45n/a10
Oct ’25UK£1.56
UK£1.89
+20.9%
10.6%UK£2.25UK£1.45n/a9
Sep ’25UK£1.40
UK£1.84
+31.7%
11.3%UK£2.25UK£1.45n/a9
Aug ’25UK£1.48
UK£1.81
+21.8%
16.3%UK£2.25UK£1.10n/a9
Jul ’25UK£1.12
UK£1.67
+49.7%
20.3%UK£2.25UK£1.10n/a8
Jun ’25UK£1.27
UK£1.67
+32.2%
20.3%UK£2.25UK£1.10n/a8
May ’25UK£1.10
UK£1.67
+51.4%
21.8%UK£2.25UK£1.10n/a7
Apr ’25UK£1.15
UK£1.66
+44.4%
22.6%UK£2.25UK£1.10n/a7
Mar ’25UK£1.09
UK£1.66
+51.5%
22.6%UK£2.25UK£1.10n/a7
Feb ’25UK£1.06
UK£1.66
+55.7%
22.6%UK£2.25UK£1.10n/a7
Jan ’25UK£1.06
UK£1.65
+55.4%
22.7%UK£2.25UK£1.10n/a7
Dec ’24UK£0.99
UK£1.65
+66.3%
22.7%UK£2.25UK£1.10UK£1.597
Nov ’24UK£1.02
UK£1.65
+61.4%
22.7%UK£2.25UK£1.10UK£1.587
Oct ’24UK£1.11
UK£1.63
+46.4%
24.5%UK£2.25UK£1.10UK£1.566
Sep ’24UK£1.11
UK£1.63
+46.4%
24.5%UK£2.25UK£1.10UK£1.406
Aug ’24UK£1.03
UK£1.63
+57.2%
24.5%UK£2.25UK£1.10UK£1.486
Jul ’24UK£0.91
UK£1.73
+89.7%
20.4%UK£2.25UK£1.15UK£1.125
Jun ’24UK£0.96
UK£1.73
+79.3%
20.4%UK£2.25UK£1.15UK£1.275
May ’24UK£1.04
UK£1.81
+74.4%
22.2%UK£2.25UK£1.15UK£1.105
Apr ’24UK£0.92
UK£1.81
+96.3%
22.2%UK£2.25UK£1.15UK£1.155
Mar ’24UK£1.23
UK£1.99
+61.7%
14.7%UK£2.42UK£1.60UK£1.097
Feb ’24UK£1.29
UK£1.99
+53.7%
14.7%UK£2.42UK£1.60UK£1.067
Jan ’24UK£1.09
UK£2.24
+105.4%
16.8%UK£2.75UK£1.60UK£1.067
Dec ’23UK£1.03
UK£2.34
+127.0%
18.8%UK£2.90UK£1.60UK£0.997

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 00:26
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The Gym Group plc is covered by 12 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Richard TaylorBarclays
Jack CummingsBerenberg
Robert ChantryBerenberg