Stock Analysis

Slowing Rates Of Return At Compass Group (LON:CPG) Leave Little Room For Excitement

LSE:CPG
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If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. With that in mind, the ROCE of Compass Group (LON:CPG) looks decent, right now, so lets see what the trend of returns can tell us.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Compass Group:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.19 = UK£1.9b ÷ (UK£18b - UK£7.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

Therefore, Compass Group has an ROCE of 19%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Hospitality industry average of 7.2% it's much better.

Check out our latest analysis for Compass Group

roce
LSE:CPG Return on Capital Employed March 19th 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Compass Group compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Compass Group .

So How Is Compass Group's ROCE Trending?

While the returns on capital are good, they haven't moved much. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 19% and the business has deployed 42% more capital into its operations. 19% is a pretty standard return, and it provides some comfort knowing that Compass Group has consistently earned this amount. Stable returns in this ballpark can be unexciting, but if they can be maintained over the long run, they often provide nice rewards to shareholders.

On a side note, Compass Group's current liabilities are still rather high at 43% of total assets. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.

What We Can Learn From Compass Group's ROCE

In the end, Compass Group has proven its ability to adequately reinvest capital at good rates of return. However, over the last five years, the stock has only delivered a 33% return to shareholders who held over that period. So to determine if Compass Group is a multi-bagger going forward, we'd suggest digging deeper into the company's other fundamentals.

If you'd like to know about the risks facing Compass Group, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Compass Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.