Compass Group PLC

LSE:CPG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$50.6b

Compass Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Compass Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 11.3% and 6.9% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 11.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 28% in 3 years.

Key information

11.3%

Earnings growth rate

11.39%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth19.0%
Revenue growth rate6.9%
Future return on equity27.95%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated06 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

CPG: Margin Resilience And Premium P/E Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have made a small trim to Compass Group's fair value estimate, moving their price target from about $38.60 to roughly $38.50. This adjustment reflects updated views on discount rates, profit margins and P/E assumptions following recent research, including an upgrade and a separate target cut.

Outsourcing Tailwinds And Technology Scale Will Support Long Term Contract Wins

Catalysts About Compass Group Compass Group is a global food and support services provider, focused on outsourced catering and facilities services across sectors such as business and industry, education, health care and sports and leisure. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?

CPG: Premium P/E And Margins Will Support Upside After Mixed Rating Moves

Analysts have lifted their price target on Compass Group from about $28.62 to roughly $38.60, citing updated fair value assumptions, a slightly higher discount rate, and modest tweaks to revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E expectations following recent research moves, including an upgrade and a separate target cut. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a mixed but constructive view on Compass Group, with one upgrade and a separate price target cut feeding into the latest fair value work.

Slower Outsourcing Benefits And Incremental Margins Will Shape A Balanced Long Term Outlook

Catalysts About Compass Group Compass Group is a global food and support services provider, focused on sector based onsite catering, vending, and facilities services for clients across business, education, health care, sports and leisure, and remote sites. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?

CPG: Premium P/E And Margins Will Support Upside After Modest Discount Rate Shift

Compass Group's analyst price target has been trimmed by £1.00, as analysts factor in updated fair value and discount rate assumptions alongside refreshed views on revenue growth, margins and future P/E, consistent with the recent target cut reported by RBC Capital. Analyst Commentary Analysts cutting the price target by £1.00 are mainly fine tuning their models rather than signaling a major change in view.

CPG: Premium P/E And Margins Will Support Upside Despite Trimmed Expectations

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Compass Group to £28.56 from £28.03, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, in line with recent Street research highlighting a £1.00 reduction from RBC Capital. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research, including the £1.00 trim in the formal target, suggests analysts are fine tuning their expectations around Compass Group rather than making a wholesale change in view.

CPG: Premium P/E Framework Will Reward Execution On Revenue Mix And Margins

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Compass Group by £1.00, reflecting updated assumptions around fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E following recent research such as the latest target change from RBC Capital. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the £1.00 trim to the price target as a fine tuning of valuation inputs rather than a fundamental reset of the Compass Group equity story.

CPG: Premium P/E And Dividend Framework Will Support Long Runway

Narrative Update The updated analyst price target for Compass Group shifts modestly to £28.19 from £28.33, as analysts balance mixed recent price target moves with slight adjustments to growth, margin, and P/E assumptions in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Compass Group give you a mixed but useful read on how the Street is thinking about the shares, with one increase and one reduction in price targets feeding into the modest change in the overall average target.

Does Compass Group (LON:CPG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Feb 06
Does Compass Group (LON:CPG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

CPG: Strengthened European Platform And Returns Profile Will Support Long Runway

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Compass Group slightly higher to £28.33 per share from £28.23, citing recent price target increases and upgraded views on long term EBITA growth, European growth potential, and an improved returns profile. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to what they describe as "sustainably enhanced" long term EBITA growth as a key support for higher fair value estimates and price targets.

CPG: Strengthened European Platform And Better Returns Profile Should Drive Future Upside

Analysts have inched their blended price target higher to about £31.00 per share, supported by updated assumptions for slightly stronger revenue growth, modestly improved profit margins, and a marginally higher future P/E multiple, which align with recent Street research highlighting a stronger long term growth platform and improved returns profile. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Compass Group has focused on fine tuning upside potential and reassessing how much of the long term growth and returns story is already reflected in the share price.

If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Compass Group (LON:CPG) Presents An Opportunity

Jan 01
If EPS Growth Is Important To You, Compass Group (LON:CPG) Presents An Opportunity

There's Reason For Concern Over Compass Group PLC's (LON:CPG) Price

Dec 20
There's Reason For Concern Over Compass Group PLC's (LON:CPG) Price

CPG: Shares Will Benefit From Strengthened European Platform And Improved Returns Profile

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Compass Group slightly lower to approximately $28.15 from about $28.38. This reflects a modestly higher discount rate, offset by stronger expected revenue growth and a higher future P/E multiple that support recent price target increases.

CPG: Shares Will Benefit From Strengthened European Platform And Upside Potential

Analysts have modestly lowered their fair value target for Compass Group from £28.64 to £28.38, reflecting slightly softer long-term growth and margin expectations. However, continued upgrades elsewhere suggest confidence in the company's improving fundamentals.

Are Compass Group PLC (LON:CPG) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

Nov 27
Are Compass Group PLC (LON:CPG) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

CPG: Shares Poised For 20% Upside On European Expansion Momentum

Narrative Update on Compass Group Analysts have increased their price target for Compass Group from £28.12 to £28.64 per share, reflecting expectations of improved long-term growth and profitability. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts are emphasizing Compass Group's ongoing improvement in long-term EBITA growth and view it as a key driver for potential share price appreciation.

A Look Into Compass Group's (LON:CPG) Impressive Returns On Capital

Nov 08
A Look Into Compass Group's (LON:CPG) Impressive Returns On Capital

CPG: Lower Discount Rate Will Unlock Future Operational Synergies From Acquisitions

Analysts have raised their price target on Compass Group slightly. The target has increased from $28.10 to $28.12, citing incremental improvements in projected revenue growth and profit margins.

Acquisitions Of Dupont Restauration And 4Service Will Create Future Operational Synergies

Compass Group's analyst price target has been modestly increased from £27.72 to £28.10. This change reflects updated analyst expectations for steady revenue growth, stable margins, and slightly lower discount rates.

Acquisitions Of Dupont Restauration And 4Service Will Create Future Operational Synergies

The analyst price target for Compass Group has increased modestly, rising by £0.30 to £27.72 per share. Analysts cite strengthened revenue growth and improved valuation multiples as supporting factors for their revised outlook.

These 4 Measures Indicate That Compass Group (LON:CPG) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Sep 26
These 4 Measures Indicate That Compass Group (LON:CPG) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Acquisitions Of Dupont Restauration And 4Service Will Create Future Operational Synergies

Despite improved organic revenue growth, strong contract wins, enhanced margin expansion, and robust cash flow generation supporting a positive outlook for Compass Group, analysts have slightly reduced their consensus price target from £27.74 to £27.42. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cited improved organic revenue growth trends and resilient contract wins across key regions.

Acquisitions Of Dupont Restauration And 4Service Will Create Future Operational Synergies

Despite robust organic revenue growth, improved margins, solid cash flow, and ongoing geographic expansion supporting long-term prospects, Compass Group’s consensus analyst price target has marginally decreased from £27.94 to £27.44. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts point to robust organic revenue growth, driven by strong contract wins and client retention.

Compass Group (LON:CPG) Knows How To Allocate Capital

Jun 28
Compass Group (LON:CPG) Knows How To Allocate Capital
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Acquisitions Of Dupont Restauration And 4Service Will Create Future Operational Synergies

Strategic focus on core markets and digital initiatives is expected to enhance organic revenue growth and improve future net margins.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:CPG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
9/30/202857,9802,8612,4844,80917
9/30/202754,2982,6202,2694,43919
9/30/202650,5322,3692,0514,08119
9/30/202546,0701,8681,9823,366N/A
6/30/202544,9481,6651,8723,254N/A
3/31/202543,8261,4621,7623,141N/A
12/31/202442,9141,4331,7443,138N/A
9/30/202442,0021,4041,7263,135N/A
6/30/202440,9991,5561,5932,938N/A
3/31/202439,9961,7081,4592,741N/A
12/31/202338,9521,6581,4542,639N/A
9/30/202337,9071,6071,4482,536N/A
6/30/202337,1851,5881,4202,423N/A
3/31/202335,9911,5471,3742,279N/A
12/31/202233,1391,4341,2322,086N/A
9/30/202228,4891,2431,0261,782N/A
6/30/202228,2921,1249511,745N/A
3/31/202227,5499648451,670N/A
12/31/202126,2897388111,651N/A
9/30/202124,1324817511,578N/A
6/30/202123,3825N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202121,917-4823851,190N/A
12/31/202024,505-1482841,168N/A
9/30/202025,7291721751,090N/A
6/30/202027,859747N/AN/AN/A
3/31/202031,1171,3339831,998N/A
12/31/201933,0551,4621,2722,357N/A
9/30/201930,5901,3961,3882,400N/A
6/30/201930,9511,467N/AN/AN/A
3/31/201931,0851,532N/A2,498N/A
12/31/201829,7921,470N/A2,399N/A
9/30/201829,8081,473N/A2,406N/A
6/30/201829,8951,501N/A2,295N/A
3/31/201831,4701,607N/A2,288N/A
12/31/201730,3741,557N/A2,203N/A
9/30/201730,2371,556N/A2,188N/A
6/30/201728,7261,478N/A2,116N/A
3/31/201726,9881,388N/A2,025N/A
12/31/201625,3511,294N/A1,873N/A
9/30/201625,4151,286N/A1,846N/A
6/30/201625,1201,262N/A1,775N/A
3/31/201626,1921,306N/A1,795N/A
12/31/201526,3791,310N/A1,758N/A
9/30/201526,6171,315N/A1,722N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: CPG's forecast earnings growth (11.3% per year) is above the savings rate (3.4%).

Earnings vs Market: CPG's earnings (11.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the UK market (11.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: CPG's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: CPG's revenue (6.9% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (4.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: CPG's revenue (6.9% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: CPG's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (28%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/06 02:35
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/06 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2025/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Compass Group PLC is covered by 30 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Victoria Lee SternBarclays
Pravin GondhaleBarclays
Victoria Lee SternBarclays