Kesko Oyj Valuation

Is 0BNT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0BNT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0BNT (€19.03) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€53.51)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0BNT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0BNT?

Key metric: As 0BNT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0BNT. This is calculated by dividing 0BNT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0BNT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.2x
Earnings€417.10m
Market Cap€7.60b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0BNT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0BNT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.6x
SBRY J Sainsbury
43.1x21.5%UK£5.9b
MKS Marks and Spencer Group
15.1x7.1%UK£7.7b
TSCO Tesco
12.5x1.5%UK£23.7b
CBOX Cake Box Holdings
15.6xn/aUK£77.0m
0BNT Kesko Oyj
18.2x10.4%€7.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0BNT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the peer average (21.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0BNT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0BNT 18.2xIndustry Avg. 14.8xNo. of Companies9PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0BNT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0BNT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0BNT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.2x
Fair PE Ratio19.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0BNT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0BNT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€19.03
€19.90
+4.6%
8.5%€23.00€18.00n/a5
Nov ’25€19.74
€19.50
-1.2%
10.5%€23.00€17.00n/a5
Oct ’25€19.08
€16.94
-11.2%
13.6%€19.00€12.50n/a5
Sep ’25€18.37
€16.94
-7.8%
13.6%€19.00€12.50n/a5
Aug ’25€16.70
€16.54
-1.0%
12.6%€18.20€12.50n/a5
Jul ’25€16.61
€16.64
+0.2%
11.3%€18.20€13.00n/a5
Jun ’25€16.72
€17.16
+2.6%
13.0%€19.60€13.00n/a5
May ’25€16.10
€17.16
+6.6%
13.0%€19.60€13.00n/a5
Apr ’25€17.32
€17.18
-0.8%
17.3%€19.60€11.50n/a5
Mar ’25€17.80
€17.18
-3.5%
17.3%€19.60€11.50n/a5
Feb ’25€17.99
€16.78
-6.7%
19.0%€19.60€11.50n/a4
Jan ’25€17.92
€16.30
-9.1%
12.1%€18.00€12.50n/a5
Dec ’24€17.69
€16.30
-7.8%
12.1%€18.00€12.50n/a5
Nov ’24€15.98
€16.70
+4.5%
14.5%€20.00€12.50€19.745
Oct ’24€16.95
€20.75
+22.4%
7.1%€23.00€19.00€19.084
Sep ’24€18.13
€20.75
+14.5%
7.1%€23.00€19.00€18.374
Aug ’24€18.27
€20.50
+12.2%
8.1%€23.00€19.00€16.704
Jul ’24€17.32
€21.50
+24.2%
10.8%€25.00€18.50€16.614
Jun ’24€17.85
€22.25
+24.6%
7.2%€25.00€21.00€16.724
May ’24€19.31
€22.50
+16.5%
6.5%€25.00€21.50€16.104
Apr ’24€19.81
€22.34
+12.8%
6.1%€25.00€21.20€17.325
Mar ’24€20.43
€22.34
+9.3%
6.1%€25.00€21.20€17.805
Feb ’24€21.64
€23.25
+7.4%
5.6%€25.00€22.00€17.994
Jan ’24€20.81
€22.67
+8.9%
4.2%€24.00€22.00€17.923
Dec ’23€20.99
€22.67
+8.0%
4.2%€24.00€22.00€17.693
Nov ’23€20.10
€22.67
+12.8%
4.2%€24.00€22.00€15.983

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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