Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V.

BATS-CHIXE:ADA Stock Report

Market Cap: €30.7b

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize Valuation

Is ADA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ADA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
€57.47
Fair Value
41.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: ADA (€33.82) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€57.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ADA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ADA?

Key metric: As ADA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ADA. This is calculated by dividing ADA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ADA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.4x
Earnings€1.76b
Market Cap€30.72b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ADA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ADA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.2x
TSCO Tesco
13.2x1.4%UK£25.1b
MKS Marks and Spencer Group
13.8x9.1%UK£7.0b
SBRY J Sainsbury
33.3x20.2%UK£5.8b
CBOX Cake Box Holdings
16.6xn/aUK£82.0m
ADA Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize
17.4x9.6%€30.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ADA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the peer average (19.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ADA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Retailing Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies7PE0816243240+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ADA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the European Consumer Retailing industry average (15.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ADA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ADA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.4x
Fair PE Ratio21.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ADA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ADA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€33.82
€35.35
+4.5%
12.3%€40.00€25.42n/a17
Feb ’26n/a
€33.84
0%
9.6%€40.00€27.44n/a18
Jan ’26€31.23
€32.64
+4.5%
8.6%€37.00€27.00n/a17
Dec ’25€32.71
€32.64
-0.2%
8.6%€37.00€27.00n/a17
Nov ’25€30.82
€31.64
+2.7%
7.0%€36.00€27.00n/a17
Oct ’25€31.14
€31.14
+0.009%
7.6%€35.00€26.00n/a17
Sep ’25€30.96
€30.70
-0.8%
9.0%€35.00€25.00n/a18
Aug ’25€29.80
€30.39
+2.0%
8.4%€34.00€25.00n/a18
Jul ’25€27.89
€30.15
+8.1%
8.0%€34.00€25.00n/a18
Jun ’25€28.60
€30.26
+5.8%
8.0%€34.00€25.00n/a18
May ’25€28.57
€30.07
+5.3%
9.5%€37.00€23.00n/a19
Apr ’25€27.54
€30.16
+9.5%
9.3%€37.00€23.00n/a18
Mar ’25€27.43
€30.28
+10.4%
9.3%€37.00€23.00n/a18
Feb ’25€26.05
€30.83
+18.3%
8.4%€37.00€27.00n/a19
Jan ’25n/a
€31.46
0%
8.1%€37.00€26.46€31.2319
Dec ’24€26.57
€31.61
+19.0%
7.9%€37.00€26.46€32.7119
Nov ’24€28.41
€32.75
+15.3%
6.7%€37.00€27.54€30.8218
Oct ’24€28.51
€32.95
+15.6%
6.2%€37.00€28.17€31.1419
Sep ’24n/a
€33.02
0%
4.4%€35.00€28.50€30.9619
Aug ’24€31.69
€33.01
+4.2%
5.1%€36.00€28.50€29.8018
Jul ’24€31.14
€33.17
+6.5%
5.3%€36.00€28.50€27.8918
Jun ’24€29.48
€33.19
+12.6%
5.3%€36.00€28.50€28.6018
May ’24€31.21
€32.60
+4.5%
8.5%€36.00€24.50€28.5717
Apr ’24€31.55
€32.19
+2.1%
8.2%€36.00€24.50€27.5416
Mar ’24€30.08
€32.21
+7.1%
8.0%€36.00€24.50€27.4317
Feb ’24€27.17
€31.71
+16.7%
7.8%€35.71€24.50€26.0518
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
€35.55
Fair Value
4.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/22 19:06
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/19 00:00
Earnings2024/12/29
Annual Earnings2024/12/29

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V. is covered by 50 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Robert Jan VosABN AMRO Bank N.V.
Volker BosseBaader Helvea Equity Research
null nullBanco de Sabadell. S.A.