Vistry Group PLC

LSE:VTY Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£1.8b

Vistry Group Valuation

Is VTY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VTY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VTY (£5.48) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£37.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VTY is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VTY?

Key metric: As VTY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VTY. This is calculated by dividing VTY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VTY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.1x
EarningsUK£256.10m
Market CapUK£1.82b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VTY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VTY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.9x
CRN Cairn Homes
12.8x5.5%UK£1.2b
BWY Bellway
21.7x21.7%UK£2.8b
BKG Berkeley Group Holdings
10.4x-5.5%UK£4.0b
PSN Persimmon
14.7x18.5%UK£3.8b
VTY Vistry Group
7.1x8.9%UK£1.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VTY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the peer average (14.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VTY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Durables Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VTY 7.1xIndustry Avg. 13.1xNo. of Companies10PE0816243240+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VTY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the European Consumer Durables industry average (13.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VTY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VTY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.1x
Fair PE Ratio16.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VTY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VTY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£5.48
UK£7.30
+33.3%
19.1%UK£9.50UK£4.50n/a13
Dec ’25UK£6.56
UK£9.08
+38.4%
25.3%UK£15.40UK£6.05n/a14
Nov ’25UK£8.95
UK£10.93
+22.2%
18.5%UK£15.40UK£8.80n/a14
Oct ’25UK£13.25
UK£14.04
+5.9%
11.9%UK£15.50UK£9.18n/a15
Sep ’25UK£13.59
UK£13.23
-2.6%
15.2%UK£15.50UK£9.18n/a15
Aug ’25UK£13.71
UK£12.63
-7.9%
16.9%UK£15.50UK£9.07n/a16
Jul ’25UK£11.95
UK£12.36
+3.5%
15.9%UK£15.13UK£9.07n/a16
Jun ’25UK£12.88
UK£11.90
-7.6%
17.0%UK£15.13UK£9.07n/a15
May ’25UK£12.01
UK£11.47
-4.5%
15.1%UK£14.00UK£9.07n/a15
Apr ’25UK£12.30
UK£10.93
-11.1%
19.4%UK£14.00UK£5.80n/a15
Mar ’25UK£11.06
UK£9.65
-12.7%
17.4%UK£13.00UK£5.80n/a15
Feb ’25UK£9.84
UK£9.57
-2.7%
18.0%UK£13.00UK£5.80n/a15
Jan ’25UK£9.18
UK£9.07
-1.2%
21.1%UK£13.00UK£5.80n/a15
Dec ’24UK£7.55
UK£9.09
+20.4%
20.8%UK£13.00UK£5.80UK£6.5615
Nov ’24UK£7.06
UK£9.22
+30.6%
21.4%UK£13.00UK£5.80UK£8.9516
Oct ’24UK£9.12
UK£9.74
+6.8%
21.9%UK£14.00UK£5.80UK£13.2517
Sep ’24UK£7.80
UK£8.74
+12.2%
14.9%UK£11.80UK£5.80UK£13.5916
Aug ’24UK£7.86
UK£8.74
+11.3%
14.9%UK£11.80UK£5.80UK£13.7116
Jul ’24UK£6.61
UK£8.79
+33.1%
13.0%UK£11.80UK£7.40UK£11.9516
Jun ’24UK£7.44
UK£8.97
+20.6%
15.0%UK£11.80UK£7.25UK£12.8815
May ’24UK£7.83
UK£8.74
+11.7%
16.9%UK£11.80UK£7.00UK£12.0114
Apr ’24UK£7.81
UK£8.17
+4.6%
17.4%UK£10.75UK£6.00UK£12.3013
Mar ’24UK£7.89
UK£8.11
+2.8%
17.3%UK£10.75UK£5.70UK£11.0614
Feb ’24UK£7.52
UK£8.03
+6.9%
17.3%UK£10.75UK£5.70UK£9.8414
Jan ’24UK£6.26
UK£7.53
+20.4%
17.9%UK£10.75UK£5.60UK£9.1813
Dec ’23UK£6.31
UK£8.19
+29.9%
31.1%UK£16.05UK£6.12UK£7.5513

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/25 04:42
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/24 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Vistry Group PLC is covered by 36 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kate MoyArbuthnot Securities Limited
Timothy RichmondArden Partners Plc.
Jonathan BellBarclays