Do Fundamentals Have Any Role To Play In Driving Cairn Homes plc's (LON:CRN) Stock Up Recently?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
April 12, 2022
LSE:CRN
Source: Shutterstock

Cairn Homes' (LON:CRN) stock is up by 6.3% over the past three months. As most would know, long-term fundamentals have a strong correlation with market price movements, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. Specifically, we decided to study Cairn Homes' ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

Check out our latest analysis for Cairn Homes

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Cairn Homes is:

5.6% = €43m ÷ €779m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every £1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated £0.06 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Cairn Homes' Earnings Growth And 5.6% ROE

At first glance, Cairn Homes' ROE doesn't look very promising. We then compared the company's ROE to the broader industry and were disappointed to see that the ROE is lower than the industry average of 11%. In spite of this, Cairn Homes was able to grow its net income considerably, at a rate of 30% in the last five years. Therefore, there could be other reasons behind this growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that the growth figure reported by Cairn Homes compares quite favourably to the industry average, which shows a decline of 8.2% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
LSE:CRN Past Earnings Growth April 12th 2022

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Cairn Homes''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Cairn Homes Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Cairn Homes' three-year median payout ratio is a pretty moderate 42%, meaning the company retains 58% of its income. So it seems that Cairn Homes is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Besides, Cairn Homes has been paying dividends over a period of three years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 45%. However, Cairn Homes' ROE is predicted to rise to 12% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Cairn Homes has some positive aspects to its business. Despite its low rate of return, the fact that the company reinvests a very high portion of its profits into its business, no doubt contributed to its high earnings growth. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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