Stock Analysis

Barratt Developments (LON:BDEV) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

LSE:BTRW
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Barratt Developments plc (LON:BDEV) will increase its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 4th of November to £0.257. The payment will take the dividend yield to 9.1%, which is in line with the average for the industry.

View our latest analysis for Barratt Developments

Barratt Developments' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Before making this announcement, Barratt Developments was paying out quite a large proportion of both earnings and cash flow, with the dividend being 97% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows certainly exposes the company to cutting the dividend if cash flows were to reduce.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 35.6%. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 57% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
LSE:BDEV Historic Dividend September 24th 2022

Barratt Developments' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

It's comforting to see that Barratt Developments has been paying a dividend for a number of years now, however it has been cut at least once in that time. If the company cuts once, it definitely isn't argument against the possibility of it cutting in the future. Since 2013, the annual payment back then was £0.025, compared to the most recent full-year payment of £0.369. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 35% a year over that time. Dividends have grown rapidly over this time, but with cuts in the past we are not certain that this stock will be a reliable source of income in the future.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Barratt Developments has seen earnings per share falling at 3.8% per year over the last five years. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this can turn into a longer term trend.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Barratt Developments will make a great income stock. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for Barratt Developments that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is Barratt Developments not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.