NVR Valuation

Is 0NVR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0NVR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0NVR ($9243.19) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($11657.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0NVR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0NVR?

Key metric: As 0NVR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0NVR. This is calculated by dividing 0NVR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0NVR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.2x
EarningsUS$1.63b
Market CapUS$28.17b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0NVR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0NVR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.6x
BTRW Barratt Redrow
53.6x42.7%UK£6.1b
BKG Berkeley Group Holdings
10.8x-4.2%UK£4.3b
TW. Taylor Wimpey
18.6x17.0%UK£4.6b
PSN Persimmon
15.6x18.8%UK£4.0b
17.2x0.9%US$28.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0NVR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x) compared to the peer average (24.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0NVR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Durables Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0NVR 17.2xIndustry Avg. 13.0xNo. of Companies11PE0816243240+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0NVR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x) compared to the European Consumer Durables industry average (13x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0NVR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0NVR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.2x
Fair PE Ratio18.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0NVR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0NVR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9,243.19
US$9,623.33
+4.1%
9.2%US$10,600.00US$8,450.00n/a3
Nov ’25US$9,179.57
US$9,592.50
+4.5%
8.0%US$10,600.00US$8,450.00n/a4
Oct ’25US$9,804.23
US$9,131.25
-6.9%
5.4%US$9,700.00US$8,450.00n/a4
Sep ’25US$9,075.00
US$9,131.25
+0.6%
5.4%US$9,700.00US$8,450.00n/a4
Aug ’25US$8,473.06
US$9,131.25
+7.8%
5.4%US$9,700.00US$8,450.00n/a4
Jul ’25US$7,523.00
US$8,553.75
+13.7%
4.0%US$9,000.00US$8,175.00n/a4
Jun ’25US$7,571.74
US$8,553.75
+13.0%
4.0%US$9,000.00US$8,175.00n/a4
May ’25US$7,500.00
US$8,553.75
+14.1%
4.0%US$9,000.00US$8,175.00n/a4
Apr ’25US$8,094.29
US$7,789.00
-3.8%
3.2%US$8,015.00US$7,400.00n/a5
Mar ’25US$7,678.92
US$7,615.83
-0.8%
5.9%US$8,015.00US$6,750.00n/a6
Feb ’25US$7,140.35
US$7,615.83
+6.7%
5.9%US$8,015.00US$6,750.00n/a6
Jan ’25US$7,009.78
US$6,813.50
-2.8%
8.2%US$7,500.00US$5,950.00n/a6
Dec ’24US$6,306.79
US$6,233.50
-1.2%
10.8%US$6,951.00US$4,900.00n/a6
Nov ’24US$5,509.83
US$6,158.33
+11.8%
9.9%US$6,750.00US$4,900.00US$9,179.576
Oct ’24US$5,940.01
US$6,633.33
+11.7%
10.4%US$7,300.00US$5,200.00US$9,804.236
Sep ’24US$6,448.79
US$6,610.00
+2.5%
11.4%US$7,300.00US$5,200.00US$9,075.005
Aug ’24US$6,312.00
US$6,610.00
+4.7%
11.4%US$7,300.00US$5,200.00US$8,473.065
Jul ’24US$6,315.24
US$6,102.00
-3.4%
14.7%US$7,000.00US$4,400.00US$7,523.005
Jun ’24US$5,557.75
US$5,877.50
+5.8%
14.8%US$6,510.00US$4,400.00US$7,571.744
May ’24n/a
US$6,270.00
0%
5.3%US$6,510.00US$5,800.00US$7,500.003
Apr ’24n/a
US$5,800.00
0%
7.5%US$6,405.00US$5,300.00US$8,094.294
Mar ’24n/a
US$5,800.00
0%
7.5%US$6,405.00US$5,300.00US$7,678.924
Feb ’24n/a
US$5,664.00
0%
8.4%US$6,405.00US$5,120.00US$7,140.355
Jan ’24n/a
US$4,984.00
0%
5.9%US$5,400.00US$4,500.00US$7,009.785
Dec ’23n/a
US$4,984.00
0%
5.9%US$5,400.00US$4,500.00US$6,306.795
Nov ’23n/a
US$4,800.00
0%
8.4%US$5,490.00US$4,310.00US$5,509.835

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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