The Swatch Group AG

BATS-CHIXE:UHRNz Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 8.2b

Swatch Group Valuation

Is UHRNz undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of UHRNz when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: UHRNz (CHF31.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF32.32)

Significantly Below Fair Value: UHRNz is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for UHRNz?

Key metric: As UHRNz is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for UHRNz. This is calculated by dividing UHRNz's market cap by their current earnings.
What is UHRNz's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.9x
EarningsCHF 519.00m
Market CapCHF 8.23b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does UHRNz's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for UHRNz vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average44.2x
BRBY Burberry Group
83.4x38.3%UK£3.2b
BTRW Barratt Redrow
52.3x42.7%UK£6.0b
BKG Berkeley Group Holdings
11.1x-4.2%UK£4.4b
GAW Games Workshop Group
29.9x4.4%UK£4.5b
UHRNz Swatch Group
15.9x13.2%CHF 8.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: UHRNz is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the peer average (44.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does UHRNz's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Luxury Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies6PE0816243240+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: UHRNz is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the European Luxury industry average (14.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is UHRNz's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

UHRNz PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.9x
Fair PE Ratio21.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: UHRNz is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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