The Berkeley Group Holdings plc

BATS-CHIXE:BKGL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£5.5b

Berkeley Group Holdings Valuation

Is BKGL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BKGL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BKGL (£52.38) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£48.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BKGL is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BKGL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BKGL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.9x
PEG Ratio-4.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BKGL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BKGL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.6x
BDEV Barratt Developments
22.2x18.4%UK£4.8b
TW. Taylor Wimpey
14.7x8.3%UK£5.1b
PSN Persimmon
17.9x15.0%UK£4.6b
VTY Vistry Group
19.6x16.9%UK£4.4b
BKGL Berkeley Group Holdings
12.2x-2.6%UK£5.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BKGL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the peer average (18.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BKGL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Durables Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.0%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.0%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BKGL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the European Consumer Durables industry average (14.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BKGL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BKGL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.2x
Fair PE Ratio13.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BKGL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BKGL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£52.45
UK£48.72
-7.1%
9.2%UK£56.00UK£39.95n/a17
May ’25UK£47.02
UK£47.98
+2.0%
8.8%UK£55.00UK£39.95n/a17
Apr ’25UK£47.64
UK£47.60
-0.08%
8.5%UK£55.00UK£39.95n/a16
Mar ’25UK£46.79
UK£47.60
+1.7%
8.5%UK£55.00UK£39.95n/a16
Feb ’25UK£47.82
UK£47.60
-0.5%
8.5%UK£55.00UK£39.95n/a16
Jan ’25UK£47.10
UK£46.19
-1.9%
9.4%UK£51.65UK£37.00n/a16
Dec ’24UK£47.22
UK£44.90
-4.9%
10.1%UK£51.60UK£37.00n/a16
Nov ’24UK£40.80
UK£44.43
+8.9%
9.3%UK£51.00UK£37.00n/a17
Oct ’24UK£41.13
UK£43.52
+5.8%
11.8%UK£51.00UK£30.00n/a19
Sep ’24UK£40.37
UK£43.20
+7.0%
11.8%UK£51.00UK£30.00n/a18
Aug ’24UK£43.36
UK£43.18
-0.4%
11.8%UK£51.00UK£30.00n/a18
Jul ’24UK£39.33
UK£43.37
+10.3%
12.2%UK£51.00UK£30.00n/a18
Jun ’24UK£39.86
UK£43.70
+9.6%
9.5%UK£51.00UK£36.67n/a16
May ’24UK£44.42
UK£43.33
-2.5%
8.7%UK£48.60UK£36.67UK£47.0216
Apr ’24UK£41.90
UK£41.71
-0.4%
10.9%UK£48.00UK£30.00UK£47.6415
Mar ’24UK£41.01
UK£42.17
+2.8%
11.3%UK£50.00UK£30.00UK£46.7916
Feb ’24UK£42.10
UK£42.17
+0.2%
11.2%UK£50.00UK£30.00UK£47.8216
Jan ’24UK£37.88
UK£41.87
+10.5%
11.6%UK£50.00UK£30.00UK£47.1016
Dec ’23UK£38.44
UK£41.38
+7.7%
11.9%UK£50.00UK£30.00UK£47.2216
Nov ’23UK£35.24
UK£41.70
+18.3%
13.1%UK£53.00UK£30.00UK£40.8015
Oct ’23UK£32.97
UK£45.05
+36.6%
13.2%UK£54.29UK£30.00UK£41.1315
Sep ’23UK£35.98
UK£46.69
+29.8%
10.0%UK£54.29UK£39.00UK£40.3715
Aug ’23UK£43.21
UK£47.21
+9.3%
9.9%UK£55.00UK£39.00UK£43.3617
Jul ’23UK£37.39
UK£48.63
+30.0%
9.8%UK£58.00UK£41.20UK£39.3316
Jun ’23UK£42.36
UK£49.76
+17.5%
9.7%UK£58.00UK£41.20UK£39.8615
May ’23UK£40.66
UK£49.55
+21.9%
9.5%UK£58.00UK£41.20UK£44.4216

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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