Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Tandem Group plc (LON:TND) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Tandem Group
How Much Debt Does Tandem Group Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of December 2021, Tandem Group had UKĀ£4.04m of debt, up from UKĀ£2.26m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have UKĀ£6.37m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of UKĀ£2.33m.
A Look At Tandem Group's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Tandem Group had liabilities of UKĀ£12.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of UKĀ£4.12m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of UKĀ£6.37m and UKĀ£10.00m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total UKĀ£346.0k more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Since publicly traded Tandem Group shares are worth a total of UKĀ£12.8m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Tandem Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Another good sign is that Tandem Group has been able to increase its EBIT by 21% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Tandem Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Tandem Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Looking at the most recent three years, Tandem Group recorded free cash flow of 28% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Summing up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Tandem Group has UKĀ£2.33m in net cash. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 21% over the last year. So is Tandem Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Tandem Group has 5 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Tandem Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About AIM:TND
Tandem Group
Designs, develops, distributes, and retails of sports, leisure, and mobility products in the United Kingdom.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.