Loomis AB (publ)

BATS-CHIXE:LOOMIS Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 22.5b

Loomis Valuation

Is LOOMIS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LOOMIS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LOOMIS (SEK340.4) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK967.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LOOMIS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LOOMIS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LOOMIS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.4x
PEG Ratio0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LOOMIS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LOOMIS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average38.9x
MTO Mitie Group
11.7x8.0%UK£1.5b
SRP Serco Group
13.3x8.8%UK£1.8b
SMS Smart Metering Systems
81.4x15.2%UK£1.3b
DATA GlobalData
49.2x27.7%UK£1.6b
LOOMIS Loomis
15.1x22.0%SEK 22.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LOOMIS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the peer average (38.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LOOMIS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Commercial Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a14.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LOOMIS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the European Commercial Services industry average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LOOMIS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LOOMIS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LOOMIS's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LOOMIS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
SEK 394.00
0%
12.0%SEK 450.00SEK 328.00n/a4
Sep ’25n/a
SEK 394.00
0%
12.0%SEK 450.00SEK 328.00n/a4
Aug ’25SEK 328.00
SEK 392.00
+19.5%
12.3%SEK 450.00SEK 328.00n/a4
Jul ’25n/a
SEK 375.75
0%
14.4%SEK 425.00SEK 288.00n/a4
Jun ’25n/a
SEK 381.25
0%
15.2%SEK 435.00SEK 288.00n/a4
May ’25n/a
SEK 381.25
0%
15.2%SEK 435.00SEK 288.00n/a4
Apr ’25n/a
SEK 380.00
0%
15.3%SEK 435.00SEK 288.00n/a4
Mar ’25n/a
SEK 380.00
0%
15.3%SEK 435.00SEK 288.00n/a4
Feb ’25n/a
SEK 370.75
0%
14.4%SEK 425.00SEK 288.00n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
SEK 405.00
0%
4.6%SEK 425.00SEK 380.00n/a3
Dec ’24n/a
SEK 388.75
0%
10.6%SEK 425.00SEK 325.00n/a4
Nov ’24SEK 281.40
SEK 385.00
+36.8%
12.0%SEK 435.00SEK 325.00n/a4
Oct ’24n/a
SEK 380.00
0%
10.9%SEK 425.00SEK 325.00n/a4
Sep ’24n/a
SEK 380.00
0%
10.9%SEK 425.00SEK 325.00n/a4
Aug ’24SEK 304.00
SEK 380.00
+25.0%
10.9%SEK 425.00SEK 325.00SEK 328.004
Jul ’24SEK 314.80
SEK 375.00
+19.1%
10.5%SEK 425.00SEK 325.00n/a4
Jun ’24n/a
SEK 375.00
0%
10.5%SEK 425.00SEK 325.00n/a4
May ’24SEK 334.50
SEK 370.60
+10.8%
9.5%SEK 425.00SEK 325.00n/a5
Apr ’24n/a
SEK 370.60
0%
9.5%SEK 425.00SEK 325.00n/a5
Mar ’24SEK 341.40
SEK 369.60
+8.3%
9.4%SEK 425.00SEK 325.00n/a5
Feb ’24SEK 302.40
SEK 365.60
+20.9%
8.8%SEK 420.00SEK 325.00n/a5
Jan ’24n/a
SEK 365.80
0%
11.0%SEK 420.00SEK 300.00n/a5
Dec ’23SEK 307.60
SEK 368.80
+19.9%
11.2%SEK 420.00SEK 300.00n/a5
Nov ’23SEK 306.40
SEK 362.80
+18.4%
11.2%SEK 420.00SEK 300.00SEK 281.405
Oct ’23SEK 268.60
SEK 346.40
+29.0%
9.0%SEK 390.00SEK 300.00n/a5

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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