Loomis AB (publ)

BATS-CHIXE:LOOMIS Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 23.5b

Loomis Valuation

Is LOOMIS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LOOMIS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LOOMIS (SEK334) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK802.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LOOMIS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LOOMIS?

Key metric: As LOOMIS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LOOMIS. This is calculated by dividing LOOMIS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LOOMIS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.1x
EarningsSEK 1.55b
Market CapSEK 23.46b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LOOMIS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LOOMIS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.2x
SMS Smart Metering Systems
81.4x15.2%UK£1.3b
SRP Serco Group
11.2x2.4%UK£1.6b
MTO Mitie Group
11.4x11.3%UK£1.4b
DATA GlobalData
44.7x27.7%UK£1.5b
LOOMIS Loomis
15.1x18.9%SEK 23.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LOOMIS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the peer average (37.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LOOMIS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Commercial Services Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies15PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LOOMIS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x) compared to the European Commercial Services industry average (13.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LOOMIS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LOOMIS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.1x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LOOMIS's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LOOMIS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
SEK 406.75
0%
13.0%SEK 460.00SEK 328.00n/a4
Dec ’25SEK 334.00
SEK 406.75
+21.8%
13.0%SEK 460.00SEK 328.00n/a4
Nov ’25SEK 321.20
SEK 397.75
+23.8%
12.6%SEK 450.00SEK 328.00n/a4
Oct ’25n/a
SEK 394.00
0%
12.0%SEK 450.00SEK 328.00n/a4
Sep ’25n/a
SEK 394.00
0%
12.0%SEK 450.00SEK 328.00n/a4
Aug ’25SEK 328.00
SEK 392.00
+19.5%
12.3%SEK 450.00SEK 328.00n/a4
Jul ’25n/a
SEK 375.75
0%
14.4%SEK 425.00SEK 288.00n/a4
Jun ’25n/a
SEK 381.25
0%
15.2%SEK 435.00SEK 288.00n/a4
May ’25n/a
SEK 381.25
0%
15.2%SEK 435.00SEK 288.00n/a4
Apr ’25n/a
SEK 380.00
0%
15.3%SEK 435.00SEK 288.00n/a4
Mar ’25n/a
SEK 380.00
0%
15.3%SEK 435.00SEK 288.00n/a4
Feb ’25n/a
SEK 370.75
0%
14.4%SEK 425.00SEK 288.00n/a4
Jan ’25n/a
SEK 405.00
0%
4.6%SEK 425.00SEK 380.00n/a3
Dec ’24n/a
SEK 388.75
0%
10.6%SEK 425.00SEK 325.00SEK 334.004
Nov ’24SEK 281.40
SEK 385.00
+36.8%
12.0%SEK 435.00SEK 325.00SEK 321.204
Oct ’24n/a
SEK 380.00
0%
10.9%SEK 425.00SEK 325.00n/a4
Sep ’24n/a
SEK 380.00
0%
10.9%SEK 425.00SEK 325.00n/a4
Aug ’24SEK 304.00
SEK 380.00
+25.0%
10.9%SEK 425.00SEK 325.00SEK 328.004
Jul ’24SEK 314.80
SEK 375.00
+19.1%
10.5%SEK 425.00SEK 325.00n/a4
Jun ’24n/a
SEK 375.00
0%
10.5%SEK 425.00SEK 325.00n/a4
May ’24SEK 334.50
SEK 370.60
+10.8%
9.5%SEK 425.00SEK 325.00n/a5
Apr ’24n/a
SEK 370.60
0%
9.5%SEK 425.00SEK 325.00n/a5
Mar ’24SEK 341.40
SEK 369.60
+8.3%
9.4%SEK 425.00SEK 325.00n/a5
Feb ’24SEK 302.40
SEK 365.60
+20.9%
8.8%SEK 420.00SEK 325.00n/a5
Jan ’24n/a
SEK 365.80
0%
11.0%SEK 420.00SEK 300.00n/a5
Dec ’23SEK 307.60
SEK 368.80
+19.9%
11.2%SEK 420.00SEK 300.00n/a5

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/24 06:27
End of Day Share Price 2024/11/26 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Loomis AB (publ) is covered by 16 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Daniel ThorssonABG Sundal Collier
Claes VikbladhABG Sundal Collier Sponsored
Kate CarpenterBofA Global Research