Loomis Valuation

Is LOOMIS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LOOMIS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LOOMIS (SEK321.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK799.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LOOMIS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LOOMIS?

Key metric: As LOOMIS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LOOMIS. This is calculated by dividing LOOMIS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LOOMIS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	14.6x
Earnings	SEK 1.55b
Market Cap	SEK 22.64b

LOOMIS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	5.1x
PEG Ratio	0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LOOMIS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LOOMIS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	38.5x
SRP Serco Group	11.5x	3.7%	UK£1.6b
SMS Smart Metering Systems	81.4x	15.2%	UK£1.3b
MTO Mitie Group	11.3x	11.3%	UK£1.4b
DATA GlobalData	49.8x	27.7%	UK£1.6b
LOOMIS Loomis	14.6x	18.9%	SEK 22.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LOOMIS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the peer average (38.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LOOMIS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Commercial Services Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LOOMIS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.6x) compared to the European Commercial Services industry average (14.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LOOMIS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LOOMIS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	14.6x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LOOMIS's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LOOMIS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	n/a	SEK 406.75 0%	13.0%	SEK 460.00	SEK 328.00	n/a	4
Nov ’25	SEK 321.20	SEK 397.75 +23.8%	12.6%	SEK 450.00	SEK 328.00	n/a	4
Oct ’25	n/a	SEK 394.00 0%	12.0%	SEK 450.00	SEK 328.00	n/a	4
Sep ’25	n/a	SEK 394.00 0%	12.0%	SEK 450.00	SEK 328.00	n/a	4
Aug ’25	SEK 328.00	SEK 392.00 +19.5%	12.3%	SEK 450.00	SEK 328.00	n/a	4
Jul ’25	n/a	SEK 375.75 0%	14.4%	SEK 425.00	SEK 288.00	n/a	4
Jun ’25	n/a	SEK 381.25 0%	15.2%	SEK 435.00	SEK 288.00	n/a	4
May ’25	n/a	SEK 381.25 0%	15.2%	SEK 435.00	SEK 288.00	n/a	4
Apr ’25	n/a	SEK 380.00 0%	15.3%	SEK 435.00	SEK 288.00	n/a	4
Mar ’25	n/a	SEK 380.00 0%	15.3%	SEK 435.00	SEK 288.00	n/a	4
Feb ’25	n/a	SEK 370.75 0%	14.4%	SEK 425.00	SEK 288.00	n/a	4
Jan ’25	n/a	SEK 405.00 0%	4.6%	SEK 425.00	SEK 380.00	n/a	3
Dec ’24	n/a	SEK 388.75 0%	10.6%	SEK 425.00	SEK 325.00	n/a	4
Nov ’24	SEK 281.40	SEK 385.00 +36.8%	12.0%	SEK 435.00	SEK 325.00	SEK 321.20	4
Oct ’24	n/a	SEK 380.00 0%	10.9%	SEK 425.00	SEK 325.00	n/a	4
Sep ’24	n/a	SEK 380.00 0%	10.9%	SEK 425.00	SEK 325.00	n/a	4
Aug ’24	SEK 304.00	SEK 380.00 +25.0%	10.9%	SEK 425.00	SEK 325.00	SEK 328.00	4
Jul ’24	SEK 314.80	SEK 375.00 +19.1%	10.5%	SEK 425.00	SEK 325.00	n/a	4
Jun ’24	n/a	SEK 375.00 0%	10.5%	SEK 425.00	SEK 325.00	n/a	4
May ’24	SEK 334.50	SEK 370.60 +10.8%	9.5%	SEK 425.00	SEK 325.00	n/a	5
Apr ’24	n/a	SEK 370.60 0%	9.5%	SEK 425.00	SEK 325.00	n/a	5
Mar ’24	SEK 341.40	SEK 369.60 +8.3%	9.4%	SEK 425.00	SEK 325.00	n/a	5
Feb ’24	SEK 302.40	SEK 365.60 +20.9%	8.8%	SEK 420.00	SEK 325.00	n/a	5
Jan ’24	n/a	SEK 365.80 0%	11.0%	SEK 420.00	SEK 300.00	n/a	5
Dec ’23	SEK 307.60	SEK 368.80 +19.9%	11.2%	SEK 420.00	SEK 300.00	n/a	5
Nov ’23	SEK 306.40	SEK 362.80 +18.4%	11.2%	SEK 420.00	SEK 300.00	SEK 281.40	5

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.