Johnson Service Group Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of JSG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

JSG (£1.45) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (£3.77)

Is JSG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JSG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JSG (£1.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£3.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JSG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JSG?

Key metric: As JSG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for JSG. This is calculated by dividing JSG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is JSG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	19.3x
Earnings	UK£31.00m
Market Cap	UK£595.03m

JSG key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	5.3x
PEG Ratio	0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does JSG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for JSG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	57.9x
RST Restore	98x	48.0%	UK£372.4m
FRAN Franchise Brands	44.2x	n/a	UK£318.1m
MER Mears Group	8x	-15.6%	UK£339.9m
SMS Smart Metering Systems	81.4x	15.2%	UK£1.3b
JSG Johnson Service Group	19.3x	20.9%	UK£598.3m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: JSG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the peer average (57.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does JSG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Commercial Services Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: JSG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the European Commercial Services industry average (14.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JSG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JSG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	19.3x
Fair PE Ratio	23.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: JSG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst JSG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	UK£1.45	UK£1.92 +32.7%	8.9%	UK£2.20	UK£1.65	n/a	7
Nov ’25	UK£1.46	UK£1.92 +31.8%	8.9%	UK£2.20	UK£1.65	n/a	7
Oct ’25	UK£1.56	UK£1.93 +23.8%	8.4%	UK£2.20	UK£1.65	n/a	8
Sep ’25	UK£1.60	UK£1.86 +16.3%	9.0%	UK£2.10	UK£1.55	n/a	8
Aug ’25	UK£1.58	UK£1.86 +17.4%	9.0%	UK£2.10	UK£1.55	n/a	8
Jul ’25	UK£1.61	UK£1.86 +15.7%	9.0%	UK£2.10	UK£1.55	n/a	8
Jun ’25	UK£1.67	UK£1.86 +11.1%	9.0%	UK£2.10	UK£1.55	n/a	8
May ’25	UK£1.41	UK£1.69 +19.5%	12.4%	UK£2.00	UK£1.40	n/a	8
Apr ’25	UK£1.31	UK£1.63 +23.8%	9.0%	UK£1.80	UK£1.40	n/a	8
Mar ’25	UK£1.42	UK£1.61 +12.9%	9.1%	UK£1.80	UK£1.40	n/a	8
Feb ’25	UK£1.46	UK£1.61 +10.4%	9.1%	UK£1.80	UK£1.40	n/a	8
Jan ’25	UK£1.42	UK£1.57 +10.9%	8.2%	UK£1.80	UK£1.40	n/a	8
Dec ’24	UK£1.33	UK£1.57 +18.0%	8.2%	UK£1.80	UK£1.40	n/a	8
Nov ’24	UK£1.29	UK£1.57 +21.9%	8.2%	UK£1.80	UK£1.40	UK£1.46	8
Oct ’24	UK£1.35	UK£1.57 +16.3%	8.2%	UK£1.80	UK£1.40	UK£1.56	8
Sep ’24	UK£1.24	UK£1.47 +18.5%	10.0%	UK£1.70	UK£1.25	UK£1.60	8
Aug ’24	UK£1.10	UK£1.46 +33.1%	10.3%	UK£1.70	UK£1.25	UK£1.58	8
Jul ’24	UK£1.03	UK£1.46 +41.2%	11.0%	UK£1.70	UK£1.20	UK£1.61	8
Jun ’24	UK£1.08	UK£1.46 +34.7%	11.0%	UK£1.70	UK£1.20	UK£1.67	8
May ’24	UK£1.22	UK£1.44 +18.6%	11.4%	UK£1.70	UK£1.20	UK£1.41	8
Apr ’24	UK£1.22	UK£1.39 +13.2%	15.1%	UK£1.70	UK£1.06	UK£1.31	7
Mar ’24	UK£1.11	UK£1.37 +23.3%	18.9%	UK£1.80	UK£1.05	UK£1.42	7
Feb ’24	UK£1.13	UK£1.37 +21.2%	18.9%	UK£1.80	UK£1.05	UK£1.46	7
Jan ’24	UK£0.97	UK£1.36 +40.2%	20.3%	UK£1.80	UK£0.97	UK£1.42	7
Dec ’23	UK£0.96	UK£1.36 +41.5%	20.3%	UK£1.80	UK£0.97	UK£1.33	7
Nov ’23	UK£0.93	UK£1.36 +45.6%	20.3%	UK£1.80	UK£0.97	UK£1.29	7

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.