Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By RBG Holdings plc's (LON:RBGP) 46% Share Price Plunge

AIM:RBGP
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, RBG Holdings plc (LON:RBGP) shares are down a considerable 46% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 84% loss during that time.

After such a large drop in price, RBG Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Professional Services industry in the United Kingdom, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 0.8x and even P/S above 3x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for RBG Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:RBGP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024

What Does RBG Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

RBG Holdings could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think RBG Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For RBG Holdings?

RBG Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 15%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 60% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 0.8% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 5.7%, which paints a poor picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that RBG Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What Does RBG Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

RBG Holdings' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

It's clear to see that RBG Holdings maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware RBG Holdings is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 4 of those shouldn't be ignored.

If you're unsure about the strength of RBG Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.