Stock Analysis

Should You Investigate Luceco plc (LON:LUCE) At UK£1.56?

LSE:LUCE
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Luceco plc (LON:LUCE), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise of 47% in the past couple of months on the LSE. The recent jump in the share price has meant that the company is trading at close to its 52-week high. As a small cap stock, which tends to lack high analyst coverage, there is generally more of an opportunity for mispricing as there is less activity to push the stock closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity here to buy? Today we will analyse the most recent data on Luceco’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Luceco

Is Luceco Still Cheap?

According to our valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 21%, trading at UK£1.56 compared to our intrinsic value of £1.29. This means that the opportunity to buy Luceco at a good price has disappeared! If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Since Luceco’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Luceco generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
LSE:LUCE Earnings and Revenue Growth January 27th 2024

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Luceco's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 39%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? LUCE’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe LUCE should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on LUCE for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for LUCE, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example - Luceco has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.