Stock Analysis

Ceres Power Holdings plc (LON:CWR) Shares May Have Slumped 27% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

LSE:CWR
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Ceres Power Holdings plc (LON:CWR) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 20% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in the United Kingdom's Electrical industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, you may still consider Ceres Power Holdings as a stock not worth researching with its 8.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Ceres Power Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
LSE:CWR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 20th 2024

What Does Ceres Power Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

Ceres Power Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Ceres Power Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Ceres Power Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 80% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 33% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 30% per annum during the coming three years according to the twelve analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 95% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's alarming that Ceres Power Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Ceres Power Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Ceres Power Holdings' shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Ceres Power Holdings, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Ceres Power Holdings (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.