Trifast Valuation

Is TRIl undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TRIl when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TRIl (£0.83) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£2.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TRIl is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TRIl?

Key metric: As TRIl is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for TRIl. This is calculated by dividing TRIl's market cap by their current revenue.
What is TRIl's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesUK£229.94m
Market CapUK£112.19m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TRIl's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TRIl vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
RNO Renold
0.4x5.5%UK£96.7m
MCON Mincon Group
0.7x6.7%UK£80.7m
AVG Avingtrans
0.9x14.5%UK£128.2m
MPAC Mpac Group
1.2x23.2%UK£148.1m
TRIl Trifast
0.5x4.1%UK£112.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TRIl is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does TRIl's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Machinery Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HMSG HMS Hydraulic Machines & Systems Group
0.08x4.0%US$81.11m
HARL Harland & Wolff Group Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$19.39m
SIXH 600 Group
0.1xn/aUS$4.32m
No more companies available in this PS range
No. of Companies5PS012345+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TRIl is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the UK Machinery industry average (1.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TRIl's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TRIl PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TRIl's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TRIl forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
UK£1.20
0%
16.7%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a2
Nov ’25UK£0.80
UK£1.20
+50.0%
16.7%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a2
Oct ’25UK£0.80
UK£1.13
+42.0%
16.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
UK£1.13
0%
16.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Aug ’25UK£0.79
UK£1.13
+43.5%
16.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Jul ’25UK£0.74
UK£1.13
+53.6%
16.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Jun ’25UK£0.69
UK£1.13
+64.7%
16.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
May ’25UK£0.78
UK£1.13
+45.3%
16.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Apr ’25n/a
UK£1.13
0%
16.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Mar ’25UK£0.79
UK£1.13
+43.8%
16.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Feb ’25n/a
UK£1.13
0%
16.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Jan ’25UK£0.88
UK£1.17
+32.6%
14.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Dec ’24UK£0.81
UK£1.17
+44.4%
14.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Nov ’24n/a
UK£1.18
0%
13.1%UK£1.40UK£1.05UK£0.803
Oct ’24UK£0.81
UK£1.16
+42.9%
12.2%UK£1.40UK£1.05UK£0.804
Sep ’24UK£0.82
UK£1.16
+41.5%
12.2%UK£1.40UK£1.05n/a4
Aug ’24UK£0.85
UK£1.16
+36.2%
12.2%UK£1.40UK£1.05UK£0.794
Jul ’24UK£0.77
UK£1.16
+49.9%
12.2%UK£1.40UK£1.05UK£0.744
Jun ’24UK£0.72
UK£1.16
+61.2%
12.2%UK£1.40UK£1.05UK£0.694
May ’24UK£0.70
UK£1.16
+65.4%
12.2%UK£1.40UK£1.05UK£0.784
Apr ’24UK£0.76
UK£1.18
+55.2%
9.2%UK£1.30UK£1.05n/a4
Mar ’24UK£0.68
UK£1.20
+75.9%
8.5%UK£1.30UK£1.05UK£0.795
Feb ’24UK£0.80
UK£1.36
+70.8%
8.5%UK£1.60UK£1.25n/a6
Jan ’24UK£0.71
UK£1.36
+90.9%
8.5%UK£1.60UK£1.25UK£0.886
Dec ’23UK£0.59
UK£1.36
+129.5%
8.5%UK£1.60UK£1.25UK£0.816
Nov ’23UK£0.65
UK£1.46
+126.6%
5.9%UK£1.60UK£1.35n/a6

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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