Trifast plc

BATS-CHIXE:TRIl Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£116.0m

Trifast Valuation

Is TRIl undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TRIl when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TRIl (£0.84) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£2.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TRIl is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TRIl?

Key metric: As TRIl is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for TRIl. This is calculated by dividing TRIl's market cap by their current revenue.
What is TRIl's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesUK£229.94m
Market CapUK£115.96m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does TRIl's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for TRIl vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.8x
RNO Renold
0.4x5.5%UK£93.5m
MCON Mincon Group
0.7x6.7%UK£80.7m
AVG Avingtrans
0.9x14.5%UK£122.5m
MPAC Mpac Group
1.4x23.2%UK£169.9m
TRIl Trifast
0.5x4.1%UK£116.0m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: TRIl is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (0.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does TRIl's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Machinery Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HMSG HMS Hydraulic Machines & Systems Group
0.08x4.0%US$81.11m
HARL Harland & Wolff Group Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$19.39m
SIXH 600 Group
0.1xn/aUS$4.32m
No more companies available in this PS range
No. of Companies5PS01.22.43.64.86+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: TRIl is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the UK Machinery industry average (1.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TRIl's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TRIl PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TRIl's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TRIl forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
UK£1.20
0%
16.7%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a2
Dec ’25UK£0.83
UK£1.20
+44.6%
16.7%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a2
Nov ’25UK£0.80
UK£1.20
+50.0%
16.7%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a2
Oct ’25UK£0.80
UK£1.13
+42.0%
16.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
UK£1.13
0%
16.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Aug ’25UK£0.79
UK£1.13
+43.5%
16.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Jul ’25UK£0.74
UK£1.13
+53.6%
16.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Jun ’25UK£0.69
UK£1.13
+64.7%
16.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
May ’25UK£0.78
UK£1.13
+45.3%
16.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Apr ’25n/a
UK£1.13
0%
16.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Mar ’25UK£0.79
UK£1.13
+43.8%
16.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Feb ’25n/a
UK£1.13
0%
16.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Jan ’25UK£0.88
UK£1.17
+32.6%
14.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00n/a3
Dec ’24UK£0.81
UK£1.17
+44.4%
14.6%UK£1.40UK£1.00UK£0.833
Nov ’24n/a
UK£1.18
0%
13.1%UK£1.40UK£1.05UK£0.803
Oct ’24UK£0.81
UK£1.16
+42.9%
12.2%UK£1.40UK£1.05UK£0.804
Sep ’24UK£0.82
UK£1.16
+41.5%
12.2%UK£1.40UK£1.05n/a4
Aug ’24UK£0.85
UK£1.16
+36.2%
12.2%UK£1.40UK£1.05UK£0.794
Jul ’24UK£0.77
UK£1.16
+49.9%
12.2%UK£1.40UK£1.05UK£0.744
Jun ’24UK£0.72
UK£1.16
+61.2%
12.2%UK£1.40UK£1.05UK£0.694
May ’24UK£0.70
UK£1.16
+65.4%
12.2%UK£1.40UK£1.05UK£0.784
Apr ’24UK£0.76
UK£1.18
+55.2%
9.2%UK£1.30UK£1.05n/a4
Mar ’24UK£0.68
UK£1.20
+75.9%
8.5%UK£1.30UK£1.05UK£0.795
Feb ’24UK£0.80
UK£1.36
+70.8%
8.5%UK£1.60UK£1.25n/a6
Jan ’24UK£0.71
UK£1.36
+90.9%
8.5%UK£1.60UK£1.25UK£0.886

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/01 18:56
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Trifast plc is covered by 13 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andrew SimmsArden Partners Plc.
Joseph BloomfieldBerenberg
David BuxtonCavendish