HMS Hydraulic Machines & Systems Group plc

LSE:HMSG Stock Report

Market Cap: US$81.1m

HMS Hydraulic Machines & Systems Group Valuation

Is HMSG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HMSG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HMSG ($3.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($8.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HMSG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HMSG?

Key metric: As HMSG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HMSG. This is calculated by dividing HMSG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HMSG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.4x
Earnings₽1.03b
Market Cap₽4.57b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HMSG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HMSG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.6x
MCON Mincon Group
59.2x75.4%UK£78.6m
RNO Renold
6.2x3.1%UK£106.4m
AVG Avingtrans
35.7x38.0%UK£130.7m
MPAC Mpac Group
25.2x20.0%UK£156.2m
HMSG HMS Hydraulic Machines & Systems Group
4.4xn/aUS$81.1m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: Insufficient data to calculate HMSG's Price-To-Earnings Ratio vs. peers for valuation analysis.


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HMSG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HMSG 4.4xIndustry Avg. 17.5xNo. of Companies27PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HMSG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.4x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (14x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HMSG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HMSG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HMSG's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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