Senior Valuation

Is SNRL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SNRL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SNRL (£1.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£2.13)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SNRL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SNRL?

Key metric: As SNRL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SNRL. This is calculated by dividing SNRL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SNRL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.3x
EarningsUK£30.40m
Market CapUK£587.99m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SNRL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SNRL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average61.8x
CHRT Cohort
27.8x5.3%UK£425.2m
AVON Avon Technologies
174.4x62.0%UK£417.6m
CHG Chemring Group
31.6x22.2%UK£981.5m
MSI MS INTERNATIONAL
13.6xn/aUK£155.9m
SNRL Senior
19.3x31.5%UK£588.0m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SNRL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the peer average (61.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SNRL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Aerospace & Defense Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies9PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SNRL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the European Aerospace & Defense industry average (24.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SNRL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SNRL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.3x
Fair PE Ratio24.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SNRL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SNRL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£1.45
UK£1.92
+32.2%
11.7%UK£2.20UK£1.65n/a3
Nov ’25UK£1.36
UK£1.92
+40.9%
11.7%UK£2.20UK£1.65n/a3
Oct ’25UK£1.52
UK£2.08
+37.0%
14.0%UK£2.50UK£1.68n/a4
Sep ’25UK£1.66
UK£2.08
+25.6%
14.0%UK£2.50UK£1.68n/a4
Aug ’25UK£1.60
UK£2.10
+30.6%
13.9%UK£2.50UK£1.68n/a4
Jul ’25UK£1.62
UK£2.10
+29.0%
13.9%UK£2.50UK£1.68n/a4
Jun ’25UK£1.59
UK£2.10
+31.8%
13.9%UK£2.50UK£1.68n/a4
May ’25UK£1.66
UK£2.10
+26.5%
13.9%UK£2.50UK£1.68n/a4
Apr ’25UK£1.78
UK£2.10
+18.0%
13.9%UK£2.50UK£1.68n/a4
Mar ’25UK£1.61
UK£2.10
+30.0%
13.9%UK£2.50UK£1.68n/a4
Feb ’25UK£1.56
UK£2.10
+34.5%
13.9%UK£2.50UK£1.68n/a4
Jan ’25UK£1.77
UK£2.01
+13.3%
15.8%UK£2.50UK£1.50n/a5
Dec ’24UK£1.71
UK£1.95
+14.2%
18.1%UK£2.50UK£1.40n/a5
Nov ’24UK£1.57
UK£1.95
+24.2%
18.1%UK£2.50UK£1.40UK£1.365
Oct ’24UK£1.63
UK£1.91
+17.5%
15.5%UK£2.30UK£1.40UK£1.525
Sep ’24UK£1.77
UK£1.91
+7.9%
15.5%UK£2.30UK£1.40UK£1.665
Aug ’24UK£1.67
UK£1.91
+14.3%
15.5%UK£2.30UK£1.40UK£1.605
Jul ’24UK£1.75
UK£1.80
+2.6%
13.4%UK£2.05UK£1.40UK£1.626
Jun ’24UK£1.69
UK£1.80
+6.5%
13.4%UK£2.05UK£1.40UK£1.596
May ’24UK£1.64
UK£1.80
+9.6%
13.4%UK£2.05UK£1.40UK£1.666
Apr ’24UK£1.58
UK£1.73
+9.4%
17.8%UK£2.05UK£1.30UK£1.786
Mar ’24UK£1.65
UK£1.70
+2.9%
15.2%UK£2.05UK£1.30UK£1.617
Feb ’24UK£1.58
UK£1.58
+0.05%
14.4%UK£1.83UK£1.20UK£1.567
Jan ’24UK£1.26
UK£1.53
+21.7%
16.5%UK£1.90UK£1.20UK£1.778
Dec ’23UK£1.24
UK£1.53
+23.7%
16.5%UK£1.90UK£1.20UK£1.718
Nov ’23UK£1.27
UK£1.58
+24.6%
17.1%UK£1.90UK£1.14UK£1.579

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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