Chemring Group PLC

LSE:CHG Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£856.3m

Chemring Group Valuation

Is CHG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CHG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CHG (£3.22) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£8.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CHG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CHG?

Key metric: As CHG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CHG. This is calculated by dividing CHG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CHG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.5x
EarningsUK£42.70m
Market CapUK£856.25m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CHG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CHG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average59x
SNR Senior
21x31.5%UK£641.1m
CHRT Cohort
26.1x-1.9%UK£506.1m
AVON Avon Technologies
175.9x62.0%UK£415.8m
BAB Babcock International Group
13.1x14.2%UK£2.5b
CHG Chemring Group
20.6x17.1%UK£877.9m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CHG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.6x) compared to the peer average (59x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CHG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Aerospace & Defense Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CHG 20.5xIndustry Avg. 24.6xNo. of Companies8PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CHG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.6x) compared to the European Aerospace & Defense industry average (24.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CHG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CHG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.5x
Fair PE Ratio18.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CHG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CHG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£3.22
UK£4.66
+44.7%
2.2%UK£4.80UK£4.50n/a5
Dec ’25UK£3.55
UK£4.72
+33.1%
3.6%UK£5.00UK£4.50n/a5
Nov ’25UK£3.56
UK£4.72
+32.6%
3.6%UK£5.00UK£4.50n/a5
Oct ’25UK£3.67
UK£4.46
+21.6%
11.1%UK£4.80UK£3.38n/a6
Sep ’25UK£4.07
UK£4.46
+9.7%
11.1%UK£4.80UK£3.38n/a6
Aug ’25UK£4.10
UK£4.46
+8.9%
11.1%UK£4.80UK£3.38n/a6
Jul ’25UK£3.72
UK£4.40
+18.2%
11.1%UK£4.80UK£3.38n/a6
Jun ’25UK£3.86
UK£4.32
+12.0%
11.9%UK£5.10UK£3.38n/a6
May ’25UK£3.88
UK£4.33
+11.8%
11.4%UK£5.10UK£3.45n/a6
Apr ’25UK£3.63
UK£4.29
+18.3%
10.7%UK£5.10UK£3.45n/a7
Mar ’25UK£3.54
UK£4.29
+21.3%
10.7%UK£5.10UK£3.45n/a7
Feb ’25UK£3.50
UK£4.19
+20.0%
11.9%UK£5.10UK£3.45n/a7
Jan ’25UK£3.51
UK£4.09
+16.8%
12.5%UK£5.10UK£3.45n/a7
Dec ’24UK£3.20
UK£3.80
+19.0%
7.6%UK£4.30UK£3.45UK£3.557
Nov ’24UK£2.87
UK£3.81
+32.9%
7.2%UK£4.30UK£3.45UK£3.567
Oct ’24UK£2.78
UK£3.90
+40.5%
8.8%UK£4.40UK£3.45UK£3.677
Sep ’24UK£2.89
UK£3.96
+37.0%
8.5%UK£4.40UK£3.45UK£4.076
Aug ’24UK£3.05
UK£3.94
+29.2%
8.9%UK£4.40UK£3.45UK£4.106
Jul ’24UK£2.83
UK£3.78
+33.5%
10.4%UK£4.40UK£3.20UK£3.729
Jun ’24UK£2.66
UK£3.81
+43.3%
10.5%UK£4.40UK£3.25UK£3.868
May ’24UK£2.84
UK£3.91
+37.5%
9.0%UK£4.40UK£3.36UK£3.887
Apr ’24UK£2.78
UK£3.91
+40.5%
9.0%UK£4.40UK£3.36UK£3.637
Mar ’24UK£3.00
UK£3.82
+27.5%
10.3%UK£4.40UK£3.25UK£3.548
Feb ’24UK£2.85
UK£3.84
+34.8%
10.2%UK£4.40UK£3.25UK£3.508
Jan ’24UK£2.98
UK£3.79
+27.5%
11.4%UK£4.40UK£3.21UK£3.518
Dec ’23UK£3.10
UK£3.84
+24.2%
11.8%UK£4.40UK£3.21UK£3.208

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 18:28
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/10/31
Annual Earnings2024/10/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Chemring Group PLC is covered by 23 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Graham WebsterArden Partners Plc.
Richard PaigeBarclays
George McwhirterBerenberg