Stock Analysis

Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Velocity Composites plc (LON:VEL) Even After 33% Share Price Boost

AIM:VEL
Source: Shutterstock

Velocity Composites plc (LON:VEL) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 33% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 29% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it would still be understandable if you think Velocity Composites is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.7x, considering almost half the companies in the United Kingdom's Aerospace & Defense industry have P/S ratios above 1.4x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Velocity Composites

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:VEL Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 26th 2024

How Velocity Composites Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Velocity Composites as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Velocity Composites.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Velocity Composites' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 54% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 137% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 24% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 15%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Velocity Composites' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What Does Velocity Composites' P/S Mean For Investors?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Velocity Composites' P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Velocity Composites' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

Having said that, be aware Velocity Composites is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.