If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after investigating Renold (LON:RNO), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Renold is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.05 = UK£8.7m ÷ (UK£212m - UK£38m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
So, Renold has an ROCE of 5.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Machinery industry average of 12%.
View our latest analysis for Renold
In the above chart we have measured Renold's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Renold here for free.
So How Is Renold's ROCE Trending?
In terms of Renold's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 10% over the last five years. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
What We Can Learn From Renold's ROCE
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Renold's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 56% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
Renold does come with some risks though, we found 7 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are significant...
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About AIM:RNO
Renold
Engages in the manufacture and sale of high precision engineered products and solutions in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, the United States, Canada, Australasia, China, India, and internationally.
Very undervalued with reasonable growth potential.