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These 4 Measures Indicate That Judges Scientific (LON:JDG) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Judges Scientific plc (LON:JDG) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Judges Scientific
What Is Judges Scientific's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Judges Scientific had UK£21.2m of debt, an increase on UK£14.5m, over one year. However, it also had UK£15.5m in cash, and so its net debt is UK£5.69m.
How Healthy Is Judges Scientific's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Judges Scientific had liabilities of UK£22.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of UK£26.8m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£15.5m as well as receivables valued at UK£13.0m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling UK£20.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given Judges Scientific has a market capitalization of UK£398.5m, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Carrying virtually no net debt, Judges Scientific has a very light debt load indeed.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Judges Scientific has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.41. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 15.5 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. It is just as well that Judges Scientific's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 31% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Judges Scientific can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Judges Scientific actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
Judges Scientific's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its EBIT growth rate. All these things considered, it appears that Judges Scientific can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Judges Scientific that you should be aware of before investing here.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About AIM:JDG
Judges Scientific
Designs, manufactures, and sells scientific instruments.
High growth potential with proven track record.