Stock Analysis

Here's Why We Think Arbuthnot Banking Group (LON:ARBB) Is Well Worth Watching

AIM:ARBB
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It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story even if these companies are loss-making. But the reality is that when a company loses money each year, for long enough, its investors will usually take their share of those losses. Loss making companies can act like a sponge for capital - so investors should be cautious that they're not throwing good money after bad.

So if this idea of high risk and high reward doesn't suit, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like Arbuthnot Banking Group (LON:ARBB). While this doesn't necessarily speak to whether it's undervalued, the profitability of the business is enough to warrant some appreciation - especially if its growing.

See our latest analysis for Arbuthnot Banking Group

How Quickly Is Arbuthnot Banking Group Increasing Earnings Per Share?

If you believe that markets are even vaguely efficient, then over the long term you'd expect a company's share price to follow its earnings per share (EPS) outcomes. That means EPS growth is considered a real positive by most successful long-term investors. It certainly is nice to see that Arbuthnot Banking Group has managed to grow EPS by 35% per year over three years. If the company can sustain that sort of growth, we'd expect shareholders to come away satisfied.

Top-line growth is a great indicator that growth is sustainable, and combined with a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin, it's a great way for a company to maintain a competitive advantage in the market. Our analysis has highlighted that Arbuthnot Banking Group's revenue from operations did not account for all of their revenue in the previous 12 months, so our analysis of its margins might not accurately reflect the underlying business. EBIT margins for Arbuthnot Banking Group remained fairly unchanged over the last year, however the company should be pleased to report its revenue growth for the period of 45% to UK£129m. That's a real positive.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
AIM:ARBB Earnings and Revenue History July 19th 2023

Fortunately, we've got access to analyst forecasts of Arbuthnot Banking Group's future profits. You can do your own forecasts without looking, or you can take a peek at what the professionals are predicting.

Are Arbuthnot Banking Group Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

It's said that there's no smoke without fire. For investors, insider buying is often the smoke that indicates which stocks could set the market alight. Because often, the purchase of stock is a sign that the buyer views it as undervalued. However, insiders are sometimes wrong, and we don't know the exact thinking behind their acquisitions.

Over the last 12 months Arbuthnot Banking Group insiders spent UK£79k more buying shares than they received from selling them. Although some people may hesitate due to the share sales, the fact that insiders bought more than they sold, is a positive thing to note. We also note that it was the Group COO, Andrew Salmon, who made the biggest single acquisition, paying UK£296k for shares at about UK£9.35 each.

These recent buys aren't the only encouraging sign for shareholders, as a look at the shareholder registry for Arbuthnot Banking Group will reveal that insiders own a significant piece of the pie. In fact, they own 60% of the company, so they will share in the same delights and challenges experienced by the ordinary shareholders. This should be seen as a good thing, as it means insiders have a personal interest in delivering the best outcomes for shareholders. With that sort of holding, insiders have about UK£104m riding on the stock, at current prices. That's nothing to sneeze at!

Does Arbuthnot Banking Group Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?

For growth investors, Arbuthnot Banking Group's raw rate of earnings growth is a beacon in the night. Not only that, but we can see that insiders both own a lot of, and are buying more shares in the company. So it's fair to say that this stock may well deserve a spot on your watchlist. However, before you get too excited we've discovered 3 warning signs for Arbuthnot Banking Group that you should be aware of.

The good news is that Arbuthnot Banking Group is not the only growth stock with insider buying. Here's a list of them... with insider buying in the last three months!

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.