Stock Analysis

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings (LON:AML) Is Carrying A Fair Bit Of Debt

LSE:AML
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc (LON:AML) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

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What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings

What Is Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2021, Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings had UK£1.16b of debt, up from UK£991.6m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have UK£513.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about UK£645.9m.

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LSE:AML Debt to Equity History November 2nd 2021

How Healthy Is Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings had liabilities of UK£830.0m due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£1.24b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had UK£513.7m in cash and UK£143.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£1.41b.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of UK£1.98b. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 34%, to UK£965m. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

Even though Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost UK£116m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through UK£104m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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