Stock Analysis

Voltalia SA (EPA:VLTSA) Just Reported And Analysts Have Been Cutting Their Estimates

ENXTPA:VLTSA
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It's been a sad week for Voltalia SA (EPA:VLTSA), who've watched their investment drop 11% to €7.12 in the week since the company reported its annual result. Revenues were €547m, with Voltalia reporting some 2.4% below analyst expectations. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

View our latest analysis for Voltalia

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ENXTPA:VLTSA Earnings and Revenue Growth March 16th 2025

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Voltalia from six analysts is for revenues of €587.2m in 2025. If met, it would imply a modest 7.4% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €637.6m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.13 in 2025. So we can see that while the consensus made a minor downgrade to revenue estimates, it no longer provides an earnings per share estimate. This suggests that the market is now more focused on revenue after the latest result.

There's been no real change to the consensus price target of €11.71, with Voltalia seemingly executing in line with expectations. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic Voltalia analyst has a price target of €21.80 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at €9.00. With such a wide range in price targets, analysts are almost certainly betting on widely divergent outcomes in the underlying business. As a result it might not be a great idea to make decisions based on the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. We would highlight that Voltalia's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 7.4% annualised growth rate until the end of 2025 being well below the historical 21% p.a. growth over the last five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 19% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Voltalia.

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The Bottom Line

The clear low-light was that the analysts cut their forecast revenue estimates for Voltalia next year. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates it is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

We have estimates for Voltalia from its six analysts out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Voltalia , and understanding it should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.