Assessing ID Logistics Group (ENXTPA:IDL) Valuation as Shares Show Modest Recent Movement

ID Logistics Group (ENXTPA:IDL) shares have shown only modest movement in recent sessions, prompting investors to assess the company's current valuation and long-term trajectory. Over the past month, the stock is up roughly 1%.

See our latest analysis for ID Logistics Group.

Measured moves seem to define ID Logistics Group lately, with the stock holding close to its current €402.5 level. Over the past year, its total shareholder return has reached around 8%, but without a clear acceleration. This suggests momentum is steady rather than building. Recent price shifts likely reflect ongoing conversations about future growth and the evolving risk outlook.

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With shares trading steadily and a healthy upside to analyst targets, investors are left to wonder if there is hidden value in ID Logistics Group now, or if the market is already factoring in its future potential.

Price-to-Earnings of 45.1x: Is it justified?

ID Logistics Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 45.1x, sharply above the peer average, making the stock appear expensive at the current €402.5 closing price.

The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio measures how much investors are willing to pay for each euro of earnings. This ratio provides insight into market expectations about growth and profitability. In the logistics sector, a high P/E typically signals anticipated superior earnings growth, operational resilience, or a strong market position.

For ID Logistics Group, the current P/E significantly exceeds both the peer average (14.3x) and the industry norm (13.5x). This suggests investors are pricing in much higher growth than the rest of the sector. However, compared to its fair price-to-earnings ratio of 18.5x, a level the market could re-rate toward, current levels look even more stretched.

Explore the SWS fair ratio for ID Logistics Group

Result: Price-to-Earnings of 45.1x (OVERVALUED)

However, slowing revenue growth or unexpected shifts in sector sentiment could quickly alter the outlook and challenge bullish expectations for ID Logistics Group.

Find out about the key risks to this ID Logistics Group narrative.

Another View: Discounted Cash Flow Perspective

Looking at ID Logistics Group through the SWS DCF model, the picture shifts sharply. The shares are trading at €402.5, which is far above our estimate of fair value at €108.55. This indicates significant overvaluation by this method. Could the market be pricing in more growth than fundamentals suggest?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out ID Logistics Group for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Build Your Own ID Logistics Group Narrative

If our analysis does not align with your own perspective or you prefer to draw your own conclusions, you can craft a personal narrative in just a few minutes. Why not Do it your way?

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding ID Logistics Group.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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