Stock Analysis

After Leaping 26% ID Logistics Group SA (EPA:IDL) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

ENXTPA:IDL
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ID Logistics Group SA (EPA:IDL) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 72%.

Following the firm bounce in price, ID Logistics Group may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 52.5x, since almost half of all companies in France have P/E ratios under 15x and even P/E's lower than 8x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, ID Logistics Group has been doing quite well of late. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for ID Logistics Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ENXTPA:IDL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry July 28th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on ID Logistics Group.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

ID Logistics Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 10%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 89% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 18% per year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 14% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why ID Logistics Group is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

ID Logistics Group's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of ID Logistics Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for ID Logistics Group that you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than ID Logistics Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.