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Investors Could Be Concerned With Getlink's (EPA:GET) Returns On Capital
When it comes to investing, there are some useful financial metrics that can warn us when a business is potentially in trouble. Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. Trends like this ultimately mean the business is reducing its investments and also earning less on what it has invested. So after glancing at the trends within Getlink (EPA:GET), we weren't too hopeful.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Getlink:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.039 = €304m ÷ (€8.2b - €451m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
Therefore, Getlink has an ROCE of 3.9%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Infrastructure industry average of 8.4%.
Check out our latest analysis for Getlink
In the above chart we have measured Getlink's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Getlink here for free.
How Are Returns Trending?
In terms of Getlink's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, the ROCE was 5.2% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Getlink becoming one if things continue as they have.
In Conclusion...
In summary, it's unfortunate that Getlink is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. But investors must be expecting an improvement of sorts because over the last five yearsthe stock has delivered a respectable 49% return. In any case, the current underlying trends don't bode well for long term performance so unless they reverse, we'd start looking elsewhere.
On a final note, we've found 1 warning sign for Getlink that we think you should be aware of.
While Getlink isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTPA:GET
Getlink
Engages in the design, finance, construction, and operation of fixed link infrastructure and transport system in France.
Average dividend payer with acceptable track record.